MARGINAL SEVERE WEATHER RISK SYNOPSIS…ISSUED MAR. 27, 2015…10:30 A.M. EDT

Posted on March 27, 2015 by palmharborforecastcenter

ALL forecasts contained on this site,  are based on my analysis and knowledge of various forecast tools, including information contained in NHC products, and are not copies from any other entity.

 You may click on the graphics for animations, close in views, and current information, as they are linked to their respective sites.

Good day to everyone!

The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has designated a MARGINAL risk of Severe Thunderstorms today across CENTRAL/S FL:

SPC DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

Analysis of the current outlook, and information obtained from F5 DATA Severe Weather software output from the NAM-WRF and RAP models, indicates the severe threat today will lie within the outlined area in the SPC map.  The main threat, based on current forecast soundings from both models is indicated to be organized storms producing isolated strong/damaging downdrafts.  Forecast severe weather indices at this time, do not indicate parameters sufficient enough for damaging hail or tornado activity

Residents in the risk area should however monitor NOAA Weather Radio and local NWS statements for any changes.

Again, I still have not figured out to cure the problem of the graphics not showing updates on the page.  If anyone has a hint or could share some knowledge, it would be appreciated.

However, the following graphics are linked, and I recommend although they may not show anything, that you mouse over and click on them for updated information.

SPC CONVECTIVE WATCH DISPLAY

SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS DISPLAY

INTELLICAST NWS DOPPLER RADAR

NWS HAZARDS DISPLAY

Have a blessed day!

T. F. “STORM” WALSH III GMCS, USCG (ret)
METEOROLOGIST / HURRICANE SPECIALIST / SEVERE WEATHER SPECIALIST MEMBER WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA AMS
CoCoRAHS OBSERVER    

 

About palmharborforecastcenter

I am a Tropical Forecast meteorologist, providing hurricane forecasts during the Atlantic Hurricane Season. I retired from the U.S. Coast Guard in July of 2001. Meteorology became my passion in high school, and I have continued my educational background in meteorology since 1996, when I undertook the study of Tropical Meteorology. While working toward my degree, I had to unexpectedly withdraw from college due to my oldest sons medical reasons. I do however, meet the educational criteria of the AMS to be recognized as a meteorologist. Studies include, but are not limited to the Navy Aerographers Mate course, Naval METOC meteorology course, Meteorology 2010 Sophomore level course while attending St. Petersburg College, Clearwater, FL., Basic Forecasting course for operational meteorologists from Rapid WX, meteorology institute, a four month meteorological internship, and extensive research on numerous meteorological topics such as the MJO, NAO, satellite imagery interpretation, etc. I have been forecasting Tropical Weather (Tropical Storms and Hurricanes) since 1996, with my main client being three different Coast Guard Commands.
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3 Responses to MARGINAL SEVERE WEATHER RISK SYNOPSIS…ISSUED MAR. 27, 2015…10:30 A.M. EDT

  1. originallt says:
    March 31, 2015 at 11:39 pm

    Thanks, Storm.

    Reply
  2. Monty says:
    March 30, 2015 at 8:07 pm

    Thanks Storm. Things are finally firing up. Waiting for our first action.

    Reply

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