INTENSE OFFSHORE STORM FORECAST SYNOPSIS…FEB. 08, 2016…ISSUED 9:40 A.M. EST.

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Good day everyone!

The intense offshore storm is still in progress, however is beginning to quickly move off toward the ENE – NE.  Satellite imagery almost indicates the appearance of some subtropical characteristics, however I have to rule this out, as the current Cyclone Phase Evolution information indicates this to be a deep cold core low.

SSEC GEOSTATIONARY SATELLITE LOOP IMAGERY
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Global models indicate this may bottom out to around 977-973 mb during the next 12 – 18 hours, and should be clearing the eastern seaboard area.  Conditions along the eastern seaboard should begin to improve by that time.  Based on the surface wind analysis forecast, sustained winds of 50 knots are still likely today, offshore, in areas on the western periphery of the low.

GFS 12 HOURS
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GGEM 12 HOURS
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GFS AND GGEM 48 HOUR PROJECTED SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION
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The following link is information recorded at buoy number 44008 @ 7:50 a.m. EST this morning, located 54nm SE of Nantucket:
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=44008

Areas north of the Carolina area may still experience some coastal flooding at the time of high tide, due to the onshore flow, and along with this, some further beach erosion.  Click the STORMSURF graphics for animation.

STORMSURF NEW ENGLAND WIND FORECAST
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STORMSURF NEW ENGLAND SEA HEIGHT FORECAST
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Elsewhere, the Storm Prediction Center does not indicate any severe weather threat during the next 5 – 7 days.  Analysis of surface and upper air maps during the next 7 days, tends to indicate the same, as I did not see anything to indicate an onset of any severe storms, given the trof which is bringing the cold air south, is going to be relatively slow to move east, and out of the picture.

PLEASE stay tuned to your local NWS and local news stations concerning this system.

The following graphics are linked.  Just mouse over and click, for up to date information:

INTELLICAST NWS DOPPLER RADAR LOOP
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NWS HAZARDS AND WARNINGS DISPLAY
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INTELLICAST FROST/FREEZE FORECAST
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Have a blessed day!

T. F. “STORM” WALSH III
GMCS, USCG (ret)
METEOROLOGIST / HURRICANE SPECIALIST /SEVERE WEATHER SPECIALIST
MEMBER WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA AMS
CoCoRAHS OBSERVER  

 

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