SEVERE WEATHER PROBABILITY BRIEF…ISSUED JAN. 18, 2017…2:50 P.M. EST

Disclaimer:  This site is not affiliated with the National Hurricane Center, Hurricane Hunters, Storm Prediction Center, or National Weather Service.  ALL forecasts herein are the result of my analysis, and I am solely responsible for the content.
(T. F. “Storm” Walsh III)

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Good day everyone!

The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has designated a 15% Severe Weather probability for days 4 and 5 in the forecast period, which will be Saturday and Sunday.

SPC DAY 4 AND 5 SEVERE WEATHER PROBABILITY OUTLOOK (TEXT IS LINKED)
day4prob

day5prob

Information in the current text product indicates there could be a more significant severe potential for Sunday, and SPC is monitoring.  I did not perform any forecast sounding analysis, as with the probabilities 4-5 days out, it’s a little useless, as conditions will change in the atmosphere between now and then.

I will not be here to cover the severe weather threat on Sat. as I work.  I will try to have a synopsis as early as I can on Sunday afternoon, barring any unforeseen circumstances…however severe weather could already be in progress.

Please use the following linked sites by clicking on them for up to date information regarding this while I am away.

SPC CONVECTIVE WATCH DISPLAY
validww

SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS DISPLAY
validmd

NWS HAZARD AND WARNING MAP
us

INTELLICAST NWS DOPPLER RADAR
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Please visit the following link for radar and satellite loop images:
https://stormw.wordpress.com/satellite-radar-page/

Have a blessed day!

T. F. “STORM” WALSH III
GMCS, USCG (ret)
METEOROLOGIST / HURRICANE SPECIALIST /SEVERE WEATHER SPECIALIST
MEMBER WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA AMS
CoCoRAHS OBSERVER

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