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(T. F. “Storm” Walsh III)
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Good evening everyone!
Given I had to work today, it’s kind of late in the game for me to pinpoint a severe weather forecast. The SPC did go to an ENHANCED threat for today. Please use the link for updates to TORNADO WATCH #517
On the winter side of the house, snow should continue over portions of the South Central Plains, and begin to shift east into the Great Lakes area and Ohio valley within the next 12 hours, and stretching into the Canadian Provinces. Snow and winter mix is forecast to progress eastward, leaving the Ohio Valley and entering the NE and New England areas early Sunday afternoon. As this occurs, the low pressure area associated with this system is forecast to tighten up over NY, and is forecast to move into Canada by early Sunday morning, around sunrise, and begin to deepen, becoming a 999 mb low WNW of Nova Scotia. As the low deepens, mariners can expect winds well offshore from the Tidewater region, northward, to become around 30-35 knots within the next 21-24 hours.with seas running around 12-14 ft. Wins and seas should begin to subside by late Sunday evening.
Expect freezing temperatures to remain over portions of the deep south during the next 72 hours, before temperatures begin to modify, and warmer air slowly begins to move north. However, mid to upper 30’s for minimum temperatures are expected to remain over the south through days 5-6 in the period. I’ll be revisiting this, as I prefer to go out only around 72 hours to 96 hours out in the period for winter weather, given that slight changes can mean a big difference.
The following graphics are all linked, and will provide you up to date information, animations, or close up…depending on the graphic.
Have a blessed evening!
T. F. “STORM” WALSH III
GMCS, USCG (ret)
METEOROLOGIST / HURRICANE SPECIALIST /SEVERE WEATHER SPECIALIST
MEMBER WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA AMS