Disclaimer: This site is not affiliated with the National Hurricane Center, Storm Prediction Center, or National Weather Service. ALL forecasts herein are the result of my analysis, and I am solely responsible for the content.
(T. F. “Storm” Walsh III)
For those who have donated to my site, your help has been greatly appreciated. For those not aware, donations to my site help me offset my personal out of pocket expenses…such as some of the model maps you view on here, are only available due to my subscription to the corresponding site. The F5 Data maps I post, also another out of pocket expense (monthly subscription). Updates to software (weather related), and costs for my domain name are also out of pocket to me. Any help you provide is immensely appreciated! Although it may seem I am not here and working in support of your donation, I have to work my forecasting time around my ever changing work schedule.
Good day everyone!
First, allow me to begin with saying, as viewers and subscribers to my site, I truly value your thoughts and opinions. I would appreciate your feedback on the change I am making this month.
As we know, the 2016 hurricane season will be upon us one month from today. Given all of the severe weather episodes this year, I have had very limited time to research and analyze the vast amount of information I wish to analyze, regarding keeping weekly tabs on all of the various pre season forecast tools and parameters. It has been brought to my attention on the various social media weather groups I post in, there are quite a few people who have a growing concern about the upcoming season, given the fact some uncertainty remains as to whether or not we enter into a full blown La Nina, or neutral conditions with a cold bias. One of the other concerns/doubts in the pre season forecasting, is how will the Atlantic ocean SST’s react…(i.e. will they remain above average, or will the cold pool in the far northern Atlantic cool down the MDR, or will the tripole eventually emerge?).
Given these concerns/questions, I wanted to back off on severe weather forecasting, and switch to daily and weekly analysis and research for the upcoming hurricane season. This time will be spent watching and analyzing all of the “tools” I use in making hurricane forecasts, ensuring current links work and are up to date, and pretty much taking a “break” to mentally prepare for the season (as all of you by now know pretty much how hectic it can be, for me being the sole forecaster of my “weather center”. I do intend to “break in” with severe weather updates, should we get to the enhanced risk and above status. However, the link for the Storm Prediction Center is on the page in the black boxed area, below the site logo.
I would appreciate your feedback on this, as to whether or not this decision is ok with all of you, or if you definitely need me to provide an almost daily severe weather brief?
Thank you for your understanding in the upcoming change!
Have a blessed day!
T. F. “STORM” WALSH III
GMCS, USCG (ret)
METEOROLOGIST / HURRICANE SPECIALIST /SEVERE WEATHER SPECIALIST
MEMBER WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA AMS