INTENSE OFFSHORE STORM FORECAST SYNOPSIS…FEB. 08, 2016…ISSUED 9:40 A.M. EST.

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Good day everyone!

The intense offshore storm is still in progress, however is beginning to quickly move off toward the ENE – NE.  Satellite imagery almost indicates the appearance of some subtropical characteristics, however I have to rule this out, as the current Cyclone Phase Evolution information indicates this to be a deep cold core low.

SSEC GEOSTATIONARY SATELLITE LOOP IMAGERY
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latest_east_vis_conus

Global models indicate this may bottom out to around 977-973 mb during the next 12 – 18 hours, and should be clearing the eastern seaboard area.  Conditions along the eastern seaboard should begin to improve by that time.  Based on the surface wind analysis forecast, sustained winds of 50 knots are still likely today, offshore, in areas on the western periphery of the low.

GFS 12 HOURS
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GGEM 12 HOURS
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GFS AND GGEM 48 HOUR PROJECTED SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION
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The following link is information recorded at buoy number 44008 @ 7:50 a.m. EST this morning, located 54nm SE of Nantucket:
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=44008

Areas north of the Carolina area may still experience some coastal flooding at the time of high tide, due to the onshore flow, and along with this, some further beach erosion.  Click the STORMSURF graphics for animation.

STORMSURF NEW ENGLAND WIND FORECAST
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STORMSURF NEW ENGLAND SEA HEIGHT FORECAST
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Elsewhere, the Storm Prediction Center does not indicate any severe weather threat during the next 5 – 7 days.  Analysis of surface and upper air maps during the next 7 days, tends to indicate the same, as I did not see anything to indicate an onset of any severe storms, given the trof which is bringing the cold air south, is going to be relatively slow to move east, and out of the picture.

PLEASE stay tuned to your local NWS and local news stations concerning this system.

The following graphics are linked.  Just mouse over and click, for up to date information:

INTELLICAST NWS DOPPLER RADAR LOOP
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NWS HAZARDS AND WARNINGS DISPLAY
US

INTELLICAST FROST/FREEZE FORECAST
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Have a blessed day!

T. F. “STORM” WALSH III
GMCS, USCG (ret)
METEOROLOGIST / HURRICANE SPECIALIST /SEVERE WEATHER SPECIALIST
MEMBER WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA AMS
CoCoRAHS OBSERVER  

 

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About palmharborforecastcenter

I am a Tropical Forecast meteorologist, providing hurricane forecasts during the Atlantic Hurricane Season. I retired from the U.S. Coast Guard in July of 2001. Meteorology became my passion in high school, and I have continued my educational background in meteorology since 1996, when I undertook the study of Tropical Meteorology. While working toward my degree, I had to unexpectedly withdraw from college due to my oldest sons medical reasons. I do however, meet the educational criteria of the AMS to be recognized as a meteorologist. Studies include, but are not limited to the Navy Aerographers Mate course, Naval METOC meteorology course, Meteorology 2010 Sophomore level course while attending St. Petersburg College, Clearwater, FL., Basic Forecasting course for operational meteorologists from Rapid WX, meteorology institute, a four month meteorological internship, and extensive research on numerous meteorological topics such as the MJO, NAO, satellite imagery interpretation, etc. I have been forecasting Tropical Weather (Tropical Storms and Hurricanes) since 1996, with my main client being three different Coast Guard Commands.
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2 Responses to INTENSE OFFSHORE STORM FORECAST SYNOPSIS…FEB. 08, 2016…ISSUED 9:40 A.M. EST.

  1. originallt says:

    Hi Storm, did you see that satellite presentation of that storm off the East Coast? WOW. Looked like at least a hybrid type storm!

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