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Good day everyone!
This will probably seem short, however due to the fact that the weather pattern may go status quo over the next week.
The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has designated a MARGINAL risk of Severe Thunderstorms FROM THE ERN CAROLINAS TO NERN GULF COAST…
Analysis of forecast severe weather indices, from the RAP model indicate any brief tornado activity could occur within the entire marginal risk outline. However, this activity would be limited to the strongest thunderstorm cells. The primary threat today, again should be damaging thunderstorm winds (gusts). The following maps are linked to provide real time information regarding mesoscale discussions and watches.
Elsewhere, the low pressure system I have been mentioning over the past few days, has now moved north of the Great Lakes region. As the current pattern progresses, very cold air will be drawn south and east, with most of the country coming under temperatures at or below freezing, and with some of the coldest air this winter, extending into a portion of the Florida peninsula. The “freezing line” is noted as the solid, blue line in the GGEM model.
GFS STATION INTERPOLATED MINIMUM TEMPERATURE FORECAST
GGEM 2M TEMPERATURE FORECAST
Snowfall accumulation forecast amounts for the next 48 hours appear to be pretty minimal, based on the GS, GGEM and NAM models.
As I mentioned previously, looks like over the next 72 hours, the pattern pretty much goes to a zonal flow, with the exception of a trof over the California area. This pattern should allow for a break in the wild weather.
I work the next 2 days, so may not have another update until possible late Sun. afternoon.
The following graphics are linked for current information
Have a blessed day!
T. F. “STORM” WALSH III
GMCS, USCG (ret)
METEOROLOGIST / HURRICANE SPECIALIST /SEVERE WEATHER SPECIALIST
MEMBER WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA AMS