TROPICAL STORM FORMATION: NONE
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT: NONE
ALL forecasts contained on this site, are based on my analysis and knowledge of various forecast tools, including information contained in NHC products, and are not copies from any other entity.
*NOTE: In the TROPICAL STORM FORMATION line above, probabilities are for during the next 5 day period. My personal probability will be listed as either NONE, MONITORING or PROBABLE. This does not necessarily mean something will develop, but that certain forecast conditions are likely to be present, for development. Once NHC products become available, then the appropriate probability and percentage will be used.
Please refer to the link for the Storm Prediction Center in the box at the top of the page, just below the Hurricane Hunter graphics.
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Current Storm Total for 2015:
TOTAL STORMS: 11
INTENSE HURRICANES: 2
U.S. LANDFALLS: 2
StormW’s Seasonal Forecast:
TOTAL STORMS: 8
INTENSE HURRICANES: 1
Good day everyone!
I know I haven’t updated in a while, however I have been extremely sick with almost Flu like symptoms…spent my only 2 days off pretty much in bed trying to recover, hence this very short synopsis.
Analysis of global models indicates the models have dropped the solution of a subtropical low developing in the open Atlantic by mid week, and Tropical Storm formation is not expected during the next 7 days. In fact, we may not see anything up to the official close of the season, as modeling indicates an extremely strong ridge of high pressure to build over the Atlantic in a few days, with a pressure of approximately 1049-1050 mb (30.98-31.01 in).
The Storm Prediction Center, Norman OK. doe snot indicate any threat for severe weather over the next 5 days.
Once we get out of hurricane season, I will begin to post winter weather updates, with snowfall projection maps, and frost/freeze projections as well as some other winter stuff. For today however, both the GFS and NAM indicate most of the U.S. will be locked into some very cold weather during the next 48 hours, as indicate by the current forecast night time minimum temperatures. Click on the graphics, and select the temperature block for temp. products.
The GFS is indicating that the freezing line may extend fairly far south over the next 48 hours, extending into potions of extreme northern AL., GA, and SC.
Have a blessed day!
T. F. “STORM” WALSH III
GMCS, USCG (ret)
METEOROLOGIST / HURRICANE SPECIALIST /SEVERE WEATHER SPECIALIST
MEMBER WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA AMS