You may click on the graphics for animations, close in views, and current information, as they are linked to their respective sites.
For some unforeseen reason, the graphics from the SPC, and Intellicast Doppler radar do not display properly in regards to current up to date graphics from these sites (i.e. SPC Convective Outlook, SPC Watches and Mesoscale Discussions display, No Current Watches, or Mesoscale Discussions in effect). They revert to older graphics once I publish the synopsis. In order to retrieve current graphics data, mouse over and click on the graphics from the SPC, Intellicast Doppler Radar animation, and the NWS Warnings and Hazard display.
Good day everyone!
The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has designated a SLIGHT risk for Severe Thunderstorms FROM THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES TO THE CNTRL GULF COAST…
…THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS SURROUNDING THE SLIGHT RISK
FROM THE MID-ATLANTIC ACROSS THE GULF COAST TO SWRN TX…
Based on information contained in the day 1 outlook, the main threats for today appear to be damaging thunderstorm winds and hail. Based on my analysis of model output graphics from the RAP and NAM-WRF models in the F5 DATA Severe Weather software, storms today should not be of the intensity that we saw on Wed. and Thu. Tornadic activity cannot be totally ruled out with some of the more intense storms, given the unidirectional wind field and deep layer shear. It appears, based on model forecast soundings, the greatest probability for the strongest severe weather will lie within the Piedmont / Tidewater regions, with an isolated area over a portion of AL/MS. The best probability will be within the Piedmont / Tidewater areas. These areas are outlined in the following maps, with the red outline indicating where the best probability of isolated tornado activity could occur. I am looking for the most active period to occur beginning approximately 3:00 p.m. into early evening hours. Please remember to click on the linked graphics for up to date real time information.
I will be off for the weekend, so please visit the SPC site for information regarding the MARGINAL threats for this weekend.
The SPC has designated a MARGINAL risk of Severe Thunderstorms in the Day 2 Outlook ACROSS WRN KS INTO FAR ERN CO…
The SPC has designated a MARGINAL risk of Severe Storms ACROSS SERN KS…MO…AND FAR NRN OK…and ACROSS SRN TX…in the Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Have a blessed day!
T. F. “STORM” WALSH III GMCS, USCG (ret)
METEOROLOGIST / HURRICANE SPECIALIST / SEVERE WEATHER SPECIALIST MEMBER WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA AMS