WINTER WEATHER AND ARCTIC BLAST “QUICKCAST”…ISSUED FEB. 16, 2015…9:00 P.M. EST

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Good evening all!

This is going to pretty much be a “quickcast”, given this will be a fast moving system, and will be off the VA coast by tomorrow.

A current surface low over MS/AL will quickly move tot he NE, and exit off of the VA coast.  Models have backed off the strength on this low, at least over the land areas, so at the moment, I am not expecting blizzard conditions to occur, unless a substantial shift to the west occurs, or the low deepens unexpectedly.  Boaters and offshore shipping however, should watch for winds on the east side of this system, to reach 35 – 40 knots.  Snow and winter precipitation will continue over the areas of the NE and New England which have been pounded over the past few days, as well as heavier amounts over the Piedmont region of VA/NC and westward for a short distance into portions of WV/TN, and KY.  A mix is also forecast for as far south as portions of GA.

I expect the snow and wintry precipitation to clear the coast by late Tuesday evening.

Behind this comes another blast of Arctic air, with even colder temperatures than we have just seen.  Freezing temperatures are forecast to extend south, well into the Florida Peninsula, with mid to upper 30’s very close to the coast.

Please dress appropriately, and follow NWS Statements regarding this event, by using the linked graphic for the NWS Hazards Display.  Boaters are urged to check in on the Offshore Waters Forecast.  Also, PLEASE REMEMBER to take care of pets…they get cold just as we do.

My next forecast will most likely not be until sometime on Thursday.

GFS 18Z MINIMUM TEMPERATURE FORECAST 90 HOURS18zgfs90MINTEMP
GFS 10M WINDS FORECAST
18zgfs10mwind21hour

18Z GFS 96 HOUR SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION FORECAST
18zgfs96hoursnowUS096

GFSX MINIMUM TEMPERATURES (CLICK ON MAP…USE DROPDOWN MENUS)

SSEC GOES SATELLITE LOOP

OPC OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST

Please use the following linked graphics for near real time information updates.  Remember to refresh this main page first.

INTELLICAST NWS DOPPLER RADAR LOOP

INTELLICAST 24 HOUR FROST / FREEZE FORECAST

INTELLICAST INTERACTIVE WEATHER MAP (CLICK ON MAP TO ACCESS)

NWS HAZARDS DISPLAY (WATCH, WARNING, AND NWS STATEMENTS)

I have also gone through my “StormW’s Toolbox” and deleted non working links, and updated outdated links.  If you click on the heading, you’ll find a plethora of various weather websites.

Have a blessed day!

T. F. “STORM” WALSH III
GMCS, USCG (ret)
METEOROLOGIST / HURRICANE SPECIALIST / SEVERE WEATHER SPECIALIST
MEMBER WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA AMS
CoCoRAHS OBSERVER

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About palmharborforecastcenter

I am a Tropical Forecast meteorologist, providing hurricane forecasts during the Atlantic Hurricane Season. I retired from the U.S. Coast Guard in July of 2001. Meteorology became my passion in high school, and I have continued my educational background in meteorology since 1996, when I undertook the study of Tropical Meteorology. While working toward my degree, I had to unexpectedly withdraw from college due to my oldest sons medical reasons. I do however, meet the educational criteria of the AMS to be recognized as a meteorologist. Studies include, but are not limited to the Navy Aerographers Mate course, Naval METOC meteorology course, Meteorology 2010 Sophomore level course while attending St. Petersburg College, Clearwater, FL., Basic Forecasting course for operational meteorologists from Rapid WX, meteorology institute, a four month meteorological internship, and extensive research on numerous meteorological topics such as the MJO, NAO, satellite imagery interpretation, etc. I have been forecasting Tropical Weather (Tropical Storms and Hurricanes) since 1996, with my main client being three different Coast Guard Commands.
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2 Responses to WINTER WEATHER AND ARCTIC BLAST “QUICKCAST”…ISSUED FEB. 16, 2015…9:00 P.M. EST

  1. Mac says:

    Thanks Storm! The Mardi Gras parade goers are having a frigid go of it this morning. 37F temp with a 30F wind chill. Fortunately the precip line moved out of the area around 4AM this morning, or we could be having a white Mardi Gras!!!

  2. originallt says:

    Hi Storm, yes, that was a fast moving system. I got only about 1.5″ of snow. ended about 9am today.My sister, who lives in Sw Va. in Christiansburg,(Near Virginia Tech.), received 7.5-8″ of snow.Next chance for me for anything big, would be Sat.pm or Sunday, with what looks like a snow to sleet, to freezing rain, rain then back to snow system. On Wed. late into Thursday, another “arctic” front is coming through, chance of snow showers or squalls then that could leave a dusting to inch or two. Have to watch that one. Thanks again.

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