ARCTIC BLAST “QUICKCAST” SYNOPSIS…ISSUED FEB. 07, 2015…11:15 A.M. EST

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This is a quick heads up to inform everyone about Arctic air spilling south by mid month. 

Quick analysis of Global Modeling indicates over the next 72 to 96 hours, the majority of very cold air and freezing to sub freezing temperatures should remain within the northern tier of states, with a brief dip toward the tidewater area by the 10th of the month for about 24 hours, before warming occurs.  An Arctic blast is currently expected to plunge southward, with night time minimum temperatures reaching the freezing mark over approximately the northern one third of the FL. Peninsula, and encasing the entire east coast.  Temperatures are currently forecast to begin to modify over Florida and the SE by the 16th.  IF I have nothing unexpected pop up on my end, I should have an update Thu. of next week regarding this.  On that note as well, if my work schedule can remain the same, when severe weather and hurricane season begin, I should be able to forecast for 4 days out of the week.  I used to take weekends off, however it appears I will have to modify my forecast schedule to Thu – Sun.

06Z GFS MINIMUM TEMPERATURE STATION INTERPOLATED PLOTS 198 / 204 HOUR FORECAST
06zGFS198min
06zGFS204min

GFS 96 HOUR PROJECTED SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION
12zgfs96hoursnowUS096

GFSX MINIMUM TEMPERATURES (CLICK ON MAP…USE DROPDOWN MENUS)

SSEC GOES SATELLITE LOOP

OPC OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST

Please use the following linked graphics for near real time information updates.  Remember to refresh this main page first.

INTELLICAST NWS DOPPLER RADAR LOOP

INTELLICAST 24 HOUR FROST / FREEZE FORECAST

INTELLICAST INTERACTIVE WEATHER MAP (CLICK ON MAP TO ACCESS)

NWS HAZARDS DISPLAY (WATCH, WARNING, AND NWS STATEMENTS)

I have also gone through my “StormW’s Toolbox” and deleted non working links, and updated outdated links.  If you click on the heading, you’ll find a plethora of various weather websites.

Have a blessed day!

T. F. “STORM” WALSH III
GMCS, USCG (ret)
METEOROLOGIST / HURRICANE SPECIALIST / SEVERE WEATHER SPECIALIST
MEMBER WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA AMS
CoCoRAHS OBSERVER

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About palmharborforecastcenter

I am a Tropical Forecast meteorologist, providing hurricane forecasts during the Atlantic Hurricane Season. I retired from the U.S. Coast Guard in July of 2001. Meteorology became my passion in high school, and I have continued my educational background in meteorology since 1996, when I undertook the study of Tropical Meteorology. While working toward my degree, I had to unexpectedly withdraw from college due to my oldest sons medical reasons. I do however, meet the educational criteria of the AMS to be recognized as a meteorologist. Studies include, but are not limited to the Navy Aerographers Mate course, Naval METOC meteorology course, Meteorology 2010 Sophomore level course while attending St. Petersburg College, Clearwater, FL., Basic Forecasting course for operational meteorologists from Rapid WX, meteorology institute, a four month meteorological internship, and extensive research on numerous meteorological topics such as the MJO, NAO, satellite imagery interpretation, etc. I have been forecasting Tropical Weather (Tropical Storms and Hurricanes) since 1996, with my main client being three different Coast Guard Commands.
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4 Responses to ARCTIC BLAST “QUICKCAST” SYNOPSIS…ISSUED FEB. 07, 2015…11:15 A.M. EST

  1. originallt says:

    Wound up with about 3″ after Tuesday’s storm.+ ice.

  2. originallt says:

    Thanks, Storm, what ever sched. is best for you, is best for us. Currently up here on Monday morning, we are getting freezing rain and sleet. Schools cancelled in most areas. Just 30-40 miles inland and beyond, a lot of snow in CT. Up to 6-10″ to be expected by tonight. NW CT. even more.

  3. Mac says:

    Looks like the Mardi Gras parades in the New Orleans area will have a cool mid-40’s start for the early parades, but, warming up into the low 60’s by noon when the majority of the Krewes will be rolling. Les le BonTon Roulle!!!

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