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Good day everyone!
The low which will eventually become a coastal storm for the Eastern Seaboard, is taking shape off the Gulf Coastal States as I write this synopsis. This system will be responsible for light to moderate rain today and tomorrow over the south, with heavier amounts of rain being most prevalent over the Florida Peninsula.
This low is forecast to move toward the NE, and exit off the VACAPES area by Saturday morning. Once over the Atlantic, this low is forecast to steadily deepen, and continue NE just off the coast, a little closer than originally forecast. This will allow for winds along the coast to be somewhat stronger than previously forecast, and the possibility of greater snowfall accumulation totals over the areas to be affected. I am not looking for blizzard conditions, however blowing snow should be a factor. Based on current forecast motion / timing of this system, Snow should begin to affect portions of PA., WV, and VA (mostly western portions), and portions of the TN Valley in as little as 24 hours from 12Z this morning, and spread eastward across the Piedmont, Mid Atlantic, New England and NE regions. North facing coastal and beach areas, north of the center, mainly around Cape Cod and north along the coast could experience coastal flooding and beach erosion. South facing beaches, south of the storm center may be at risk as well.
The SPC (Storm Prediction Center) has issued a MARGINAL risk for Severe Thunderstorms in association with this system, for PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND WESTERN FL…and EXTREME EASTERN NC…
Another low will move in from the west over the weekend, and another round of snow or winter precipitation should begin to affect the Ohio and Tennessee Valley regions beginning late Sunday.
Winds of 25 – 35 mph may be experienced in some regions close to the immediate coast east of the storm center, with wind reaching close to, or attaining hurricane force well east of the storm center. Small craft should remain inport, and shipping interests for the North Atlantic should monitor this system closely.
Have a blessed day!
T. F. “STORM” WALSH III
GMCS, USCG (ret)
METEOROLOGIST / HURRICANE SPECIALIST / SEVERE WEATHER SPECIALIST
MEMBER WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA AMS