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Good evening everyone!
Work has kept me from updating the site in the past few days.
Just wanted to give a quick overview of what’s coming up, and will try to have a full update on Thursday.
Minimum overnight temperatures should not fluctuate much over the next 3 days, with colder air then extending further south, however with the extreme south and SE remaining fairly mild.
GFSX MINIMUM TEMPERATURES FORECAST (CLICK ON GRAPHIC, THEN SELECT FROM THE DROP DOWN MENUS)
A quick analysis of the Global models indicates the low currently over Texas, will move toward the ESE to just offshore of the Gulf coast states over the next 72 hours, where it then crosses the FL. Panhandle and northern FL. peninsula, before turning to the NE – ENE. The low will then evolve and deepen into a coastal/offshore storm with the closest point being around the Tidewater area, before continuing NE with the strongest effects remaining mostly offshore on the east side of the low, where winds could reach close to strong tropical storm force in some areas east of the center. The GFS seems the have the handle on this feature at the moment, as of the latest run on the Global models, as it currently is the only one which has the low over Texas initialized.
As this low makes it’s way NE off the coast, I currently expect possible snowfall or wintry precipitation for portions of the TN Valley region, W. VA, W. KY, and portions of VA and the Mid Atlantic region, based on the NCEP GFS model animation information.
Have a blessed evening!
T. F. “STORM” WALSH III
GMCS, USCG (ret)
METEOROLOGIST / HURRICANE SPECIALIST / SEVERE WEATHER SPECIALIST
MEMBER WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA AMS