COASTAL STORM / WINTER WEATHER SYNOPSIS ISSUED DEC. 09, 2014…10:35 A.M. EST

ALL forecasts contained on this site,  are based on my analysis and knowledge of various forecast tools, including information contained in NHC products, and are not copies from any other entity.

 You may click on the graphics for animations and close in views, as they are linked to their respective sites.

YOUR DONATION IS NEEDED… Your donation helps keep this site operational.  Funds assist in web hosting, weather software purchases and upgrades, and monthly professional site subscriptions (advanced computer model products for various forecast tools, Severe weather forecasting tools, etc.)  Your help is appreciated.

Funny dog holds dollars in mouth, isolated white background

Good day everyone! 

Analysis of Global models and the regional NAM model indicate the coastal low/storm should begin to spread it effects stronger within the next 12 – 18 hours

GFS 06Z RUN
GFS2M

Albeit still not forecast to be a particularly strong system, sustained winds off the Mid Atlantic coast could reach around 30 knots, and sustained winds off the New England coast, especially close to and around Maine, could reach 40+ knots in some areas, as this low phases with a 500 mb low in about 36 – 48 hours.

EASTERN U.S. SATELLITE LOOP IMAGERY

GOES EAST GEOSTATIONARY SATELLITE LOOP VISIBLE CHANNEL

STORMFURY WIND FORECAST  NJ / NEW ENGLAND

SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS NJ / NEW ENGLAND

Onshore winds could produce some minor coastal flooding over the area and minor beach erosion, especially during the times of high tide.  On the backside, or western portion of this system, we can expect snowfall and wintry precipitation, along with colder temperatures heading south.

The following graphics are snowfall accumulation projections for the next 84 – 96 hours.

NAM 84 HOUR
12znam124084hoursnowUS084

GFS 96 HOUR
06zgfs96hoursnowUS096

GFSX MINIMUM TEMPERATURES FORECAST

INTELLICAST FROST /  FREEZE FORECAST

INTELLICAST NWS DOPPLER RADAR (SNOW, ICE, RAIN)

NWS HAZARDS DISPLAY

Have a blessed day!

T. F. “STORM” WALSH III
GMCS, USCG (ret)
METEOROLOGIST / HURRICANE SPECIALIST / SEVERE WEATHER SPECIALIST
MEMBER WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA AMS
CoCoRAHS OBSERVER
OFFICIAL SKYWARN SPOTTER (ADVANCED)

Advertisements

About palmharborforecastcenter

I am a Tropical Forecast meteorologist, providing hurricane forecasts during the Atlantic Hurricane Season. I retired from the U.S. Coast Guard in July of 2001. Meteorology became my passion in high school, and I have continued my educational background in meteorology since 1996, when I undertook the study of Tropical Meteorology. While working toward my degree, I had to unexpectedly withdraw from college due to my oldest sons medical reasons. I do however, meet the educational criteria of the AMS to be recognized as a meteorologist. Studies include, but are not limited to the Navy Aerographers Mate course, Naval METOC meteorology course, Meteorology 2010 Sophomore level course while attending St. Petersburg College, Clearwater, FL., Basic Forecasting course for operational meteorologists from Rapid WX, meteorology institute, a four month meteorological internship, and extensive research on numerous meteorological topics such as the MJO, NAO, satellite imagery interpretation, etc. I have been forecasting Tropical Weather (Tropical Storms and Hurricanes) since 1996, with my main client being three different Coast Guard Commands.
This entry was posted in COASTAL STORM SYNOPSIS, Winter. Bookmark the permalink.

2 Responses to COASTAL STORM / WINTER WEATHER SYNOPSIS ISSUED DEC. 09, 2014…10:35 A.M. EST

  1. originallt says:

    Hi Storm. Well the affects for the storm up here are not entirely over. We did have rain, 2.31″ of it at my house, and wind too, still windy now. winds were 15-23mph. with gusts to 35mph. Out of the NNE to NW all day. Areas in NYC at the airports had gusts to around 45mph. The Jersey shore gusts to about 55mph. What’s left is some “wrap around” precip. on tap for Wed. into Wed. night, some snow showers possible, with snow squalls well N and W of NYC proper. NW NJ the Mid Hudson Valley, and NW CT. could get 1-3″ by Wed. night/Thurs. morning. Thought it might be a little worse than it was. My Barometer got down to 29.62″. Now just starting to slowly rise. That’s about it Storm.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s