COASTAL STORM / WINTRY WEATHER FORECAST SYNOPSIS…ISSUED DEC. 08, 2014…11:40 A.M. EST

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Good day everyone!  Took Friday off, and brought my son to Canaveral, where we recorded the rocket launch.

Analysis of Global models and the regional NAM model indicate another coastal low/storm will being to  take shape in about the next 18-24 hours off the SC/NC coasts.  This system is forecast to head due north.

GFS 06Z RUN
GFS.ATL

Albeit not forecast to be a particularly strong system (998 mb), sustained winds off the Mid Atlantic coast could reach around 30 knots, and sustained winds off the New England coast, especially close to and around Maine, could reach 35 to possibly 40 knots in some areas, as this low phases with a 500 mb low in about 72 hours.

STORMFURY WIND FORECAST  NJ / NEW ENGLAND

SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS NJ / NEW ENGLAND

Onshore winds could produce some minor coastal flooding over the area and minor beach erosion, especially during the times of high tide.  On the backside, or western portion of this system, we can expect snowfall and wintry precipitation, along with colder temperatures heading south.

The following graphics are snowfall accumulation projections for the next 48 – 96 hours.

NAM 48 HOUR
12znam4084hoursnowUS48

NAM 84 HOUR
12znam124084hoursnowUS084

GFS 96 HOUR
12zgfs96hoursnowUS096

INTELLICAST FROST /  FREEZE FORECAST

INTELLICAST NWS DOPPLER RADAR (SNOW, ICE, RAIN)

NWS HAZARDS DISPLAY

Have a blessed day!

T. F. “STORM” WALSH III
GMCS, USCG (ret)
METEOROLOGIST / HURRICANE SPECIALIST / SEVERE WEATHER SPECIALIST
MEMBER WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA AMS
CoCoRAHS OBSERVER
OFFICIAL SKYWARN SPOTTER (ADVANCED)

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About palmharborforecastcenter

I am a Tropical Forecast meteorologist, providing hurricane forecasts during the Atlantic Hurricane Season. I retired from the U.S. Coast Guard in July of 2001. Meteorology became my passion in high school, and I have continued my educational background in meteorology since 1996, when I undertook the study of Tropical Meteorology. While working toward my degree, I had to unexpectedly withdraw from college due to my oldest sons medical reasons. I do however, meet the educational criteria of the AMS to be recognized as a meteorologist. Studies include, but are not limited to the Navy Aerographers Mate course, Naval METOC meteorology course, Meteorology 2010 Sophomore level course while attending St. Petersburg College, Clearwater, FL., Basic Forecasting course for operational meteorologists from Rapid WX, meteorology institute, a four month meteorological internship, and extensive research on numerous meteorological topics such as the MJO, NAO, satellite imagery interpretation, etc. I have been forecasting Tropical Weather (Tropical Storms and Hurricanes) since 1996, with my main client being three different Coast Guard Commands.
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7 Responses to COASTAL STORM / WINTRY WEATHER FORECAST SYNOPSIS…ISSUED DEC. 08, 2014…11:40 A.M. EST

  1. Mac says:

    Very cool that you and your son were able to go watch the lift-off. In 1972 I was based at McCoy AFB (closed in the mid-70’s and is now Orlando International Airport) just south of Orlando, FL. My wife and I watched the lift-off of Apollo 17 (the last Apollo mission, and the first night time launch of an Apollo manned flight) from our home in on-base housing at McCoy. It looked like the sun was rising!!! It took several minutes (Orlando is about 50 miles from the Kennedy Space Center) for the sound of the Saturn 5 booster to reach us, and you could feel the vibration on your skin even from that far away. Totally awesome!

  2. originallt says:

    Thanks Storm, “cool” to do that with your son. That’s something I always wanted to do!. —Yes, my Barometer peaked at 30.70″ Saw on Twitter where it peaked at about 30.85″ up in Maine. Stayed cold here all day, had a high of only 30F (was supposed to get to 37F). But now the Temp. is creeping upwards. #0.6F right now, so when the precip. gets to SW CT. by 6am or so, it should be all rain here. Could get 1.5 to 2.5″ . Some coastal flooding expected here and along the Jersey Shore. Winds25-35mph. with gusts to near 50mph. along the coasts. I’ll of course report in and tell you what I’m getting.–Maybe some “wrap-around ” snow showers on Wed. and windy too.

  3. Monty says:

    Thanks Storm. Cool on the launch with your son!! I believe Lockheed-Martin in Colorado has a lot rising on this.

  4. dellamom says:

    I m glad you got to go with your son for the rocket launch. Thank you for the update. How will the system off the east cost impact the cold weather coming down on Tuesday? I would imagine any areas where the weather from the Atlantic intersects with the cold air, there will be very unsettled weather? Sorry if that is a stupid question.

    • Not a stupid question. Pretty much should reinforce the cold air, as the backside will bring cold air down from the north. Moisture from off the ocean will turn to winter precip as it hits the backside (western portion) of the system.

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