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Good morning everyone!
Frigid weather grips most of the country this morning with below freezing temperatures.
Based on analysis of Global and Regional models, the frigid air begins to retreat more toward the north in about 30 – 36 hours from the time of this forecast, with very mild minimum temperatures forecast for the deep south and SEUS. The following are projected minimum temperature ranges for overnight tomorrow.
I am still monitoring the tropical situation posed by the Global models. Models are still in agreement of an area of low pressure developing SSE of Bermuda by late in the week, and moving it NEWD.
We still have the other side of the house, in that the NCEP / EMC Multi and Ensemble models indicate a 70% probability of cyclogenesis north of the Colombian coast, and the FIM 8 and FIM 9 models developing a low and bringing it toward the NE.
The NCEP ESRL 500 mb anomaly departure still indicates a significant lowering of 500 mb pressures in the Caribbean in about 72 hours.
I will continue to monitor these areas, and if development occurs, I will post a Special Tropical Weather Outlook.
Have a blessed day!
T. F. “STORM” WALSH III
GMCS, USCG (ret)
METEOROLOGIST / HURRICANE SPECIALIST / SEVERE WEATHER SPECIALIST
MEMBER WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA AMS
OFFICIAL SKYWARN SPOTTER (ADVANCED)