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Good day everyone!
I really have no change to the forecast synopsis. The area north of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola is associated with a trof of low pressure. In fact, albeit a surface low could briefly form, this is caught up in a TUTT axis. The current wind shear map indicates this, and the wind shear forecast indicates upper level shear will remain non conducive for development of any tropical system. This area is forecast to continue toward the NE to NNE, becoming phased with a frontal boundary, so I am looking for this to remain baroclinic in nature. The NHC has designated a LOW (20%) chance of development over the next 5 days.
Elsewhere, looking for temperatures to dip again over most of the U.S. by Friday, although nothing majorly frigid. Another cold blast is still in the works, at around 10 days out from now, and is supported by both the GFS and ECMWF.
Due to my changing work schedule, I will keep tabs on things as I can, and will update accordingly.
Have a blessed day!
T. F. “STORM” WALSH III
GMCS, USCG (ret)
METEOROLOGIST / HURRICANE SPECIALIST / SEVERE WEATHER SPECIALIST
MEMBER WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA AMS
OFFICIAL SKYWARN SPOTTER (ADVANCED)