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Good day everyone!
Absolutely nothing happening in the tropics this morning. Analysis of Global models doesn’t show anything developing over the next 2 weeks. GFS insists on a weak low developing north of the Hispaniola/Puerto Rico area in a few days which could be possible at the tail end of the front seen in satellite imagery, however this would be noting more than a baroclinic low moving NEWD.
Elsewhere, expect freezing to below freezing temperatures over most of the U.S. by this Saturday.
In addition, albeit this is 10 days out, we are looking at some very frigid minimum temperatures coming down from Canada according to the current GFS solution. The “freezing line” is noted as the bold, blue line on the map.
Since this is 10 days out…I will be updating periodically on this.
It appears as if the El Nino that has been predicted to happen over the past 6 months (lol) may be taking shape, as sst anomalies have warmed in the Equatorial EPAC. When I get the time, I’ll try to pick out some analogs, as well as winter effects of El Nino on the U.S., and will place them in a future update.
Being this quiet right now, only thing I can say is…STAY WARM, and have a blessed day!
T. F. “STORM” WALSH III
GMCS, USCG (ret)
METEOROLOGIST / HURRICANE SPECIALIST / SEVERE WEATHER SPECIALIST
MEMBER WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA AMS
OFFICIAL SKYWARN SPOTTER (ADVANCED)