TROPICAL WEATHER / OFFSHORE STORM SYSTEM FORECAST SYNOPSIS…ISSUED OCT. 30, 2014…12:10 P.M. EDT

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Good day all!

The tropics are pretty quiet once again.  INVEST 95L is noted north of the Greater Antilles, however upper level winds are forecast to remain non conducive for development, and development is not expected.

ATLANTIC SATELLITE LOOP WIDE VIEW

Elsewhere, Global models show a coastal/offshore system by Saturday

GFS
GFS1

This appears to be a Miller B type of setup.  Doesn’t appear as if much snow will be involved, at least for the U.S., however a good portion of the eastern half of the country can expect a significant drop in minimum night time temperatures associated with this trof as colder air is brought down from Canada.

GFS 850 MB TEMPERATURE FORECAST
GFS850

GFS / NAM MINIMUM TEMPERATURES FORECAST
MAV.MINF.002

MET.MINF.002

Over the coastal areas of the Mid Atlantic coastal region, sustained winds to 25 kts can be expected over the open waters, with once again, the biggest impact being over the New England coastal areas from Cape Cod to the Gulf of Maine, with winds along the range of 35 kts., and to 40 kts well offshore of the Carolinas area.

Of course this will bring sea heights up well above normal.  It is recommended boaters and residents along these areas follow their local NWS information closely.

NWS HAZARDS MAP (CLICK ON YOUR AREA OF INTEREST)

Have a blessed day!

T. F. “STORM” WALSH III
GMCS, USCG (ret)
METEOROLOGIST / HURRICANE SPECIALIST / SEVERE WEATHER SPECIALIST
MEMBER WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA AMS
CoCoRAHS OBSERVER
OFFICIAL SKYWARN SPOTTER (ADVANCED)

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About palmharborforecastcenter

I am a Tropical Forecast meteorologist, providing hurricane forecasts during the Atlantic Hurricane Season. I retired from the U.S. Coast Guard in July of 2001. Meteorology became my passion in high school, and I have continued my educational background in meteorology since 1996, when I undertook the study of Tropical Meteorology. While working toward my degree, I had to unexpectedly withdraw from college due to my oldest sons medical reasons. I do however, meet the educational criteria of the AMS to be recognized as a meteorologist. Studies include, but are not limited to the Navy Aerographers Mate course, Naval METOC meteorology course, Meteorology 2010 Sophomore level course while attending St. Petersburg College, Clearwater, FL., Basic Forecasting course for operational meteorologists from Rapid WX, meteorology institute, a four month meteorological internship, and extensive research on numerous meteorological topics such as the MJO, NAO, satellite imagery interpretation, etc. I have been forecasting Tropical Weather (Tropical Storms and Hurricanes) since 1996, with my main client being three different Coast Guard Commands.
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4 Responses to TROPICAL WEATHER / OFFSHORE STORM SYSTEM FORECAST SYNOPSIS…ISSUED OCT. 30, 2014…12:10 P.M. EDT

  1. originallt says:

    Hi Storm. The Nor’Easter was not too bad here in Sw CT. We only received 0.35″ of rain, the Barometer never got below 29.77″ the highest wing gust was about 35-40mph. However Many spots in NJ received 1-3″ of rain, and of course Eastern New England got hammered, especial Cape Cod and the State of Maine.

  2. originallt says:

    I echo what Monty says. I’ll report in how this nor’easter affects me here in SW CT. on Saturday.

  3. Monty says:

    Thanks Storm. Hope all went well with son yesterday.

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