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Good day everyone!
The NHC issued its final advisory on Tropical Depression NINE yesterday evening.
The depression has moved inland, and should by now be a remnant low. This low is forecast o continue to move toward the ESE, and eventually east and emerge into the W. Caribbean. Based on my analysis of satellite loop imagery and current wind shear forecast, I have to concur with the NHC in that any chance of regeneration of this system is pretty slim, due to an increase in wind shear over the next couple of days, and the premise of drier air sweeping into the area. I will be monitoring the area for any significant changes over the next 48 hours. Global models have now backed off yesterdays solution of another cyclone developing in the Gulf of Honduras / W. Caribbean area.
Elsewhere, an offshore low is centered east of the Mid Atlantic region, and is producing winds in some locations of up to 35 knots.
The region to take the brunt of this will be the coastal areas of Maine, and the waters of the Gulf of Maine. Projections are for sustained winds right near the coast to be around 20 – 25 knots, with winds of 30 – 35 knots just off the coast. Surf heights are expected to be near 8 – 9 ft at the coast, and 11 – 12 ft close to the coast. Wave heights are projected to reach 11 – 14 ft over the Gulf of Maine. These conditions appear to be occurring now, and should begin to subside by later tonight. Various watches and warnings have been posted by the NWS office in Portland.
Some coastal flooding and beach erosion can be expected during the time of high tide.
There was apparently only one buoy operational around the area, which provided the following information:
I will have another update tomorrow.
Have a blessed day!
T. F. “STORM” WALSH III
GMCS, USCG (ret)
METEOROLOGIST / HURRICANE SPECIALIST / SEVERE WEATHER SPECIALIST
MEMBER WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA AMS
OFFICIAL SKYWARN SPOTTER (ADVANCED)