Good evening everyone!
Severe weather is currently in progress over West & CentralTexas
Residents within the risk area are urged to monitor NOAA Weather Radio and local NWS Statements and Warnings. IF A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA, PLEASE SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY!
The following maps and graphics are linked for you to click on, and will provide you up to date information regarding the severe weather threat today.
The SPC has indicated aACROSS PORTIONS OF WRN AND CENTRAL TX…
Based on analysis of information as of this evening F5 DATA Severe Weather software using output from the GFS model (only one working tonight), the greatest probability for hail and any tornado activity should lie within the outlined area during early afternoon until around 4:00 – 6:00 p.m. CDT.
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
The GFS has backed off on its solution of a subtropical storm developing the first week of June. This would be in response to a shift further west by the NCEP Ensemble of lowering 500 mb pressure heights, which is now forecast to be more prevalent in the extreme EPAC. One model, the FIM is still hanging on to a weak circulation heading toward Florida during that time period. With the recent shift of lowering pressures, I am not really concerned about development, albeit the area will be monitored.
This will be my final post, until I get cable services in my new address, which I hope to be back, up and running this upcoming weekend.
Have a blessed evening!
T. F. “STORM” WALSH III
GMCS, USCG (ret)
METEOROLOGIST / HURRICANE SPECIALIST / SEVERE WEATHER SPECIALIST
MEMBER WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA AMS
OFFICIAL SKYWARN SPOTTER (ADVANCED)