SEVERE WEATHER FORECAST SYNOPSIS…APR. 14, 2014…ISSUED 11:50 A.M. EDT…WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA HURRICANE AND SEVERE WETAHER FORECAST CENTER

Good day everyone!

This will not be a long synopsis.

The SPC has issued a SLIGHT risk for Severe Thunderstorms FROM S TX EWD TO THE FL PANHANDLE…

SPC DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

Based on soundings, and current information analyzed from F5 DATA Severe Weather Software regarding forecast indices, storms should be elevated supercell types. It appears the main concern today will be once again, HAIL and damaging STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.  The models (GFS, NAM – WRF, and RAP) do not seem very excited in large severe parameters, and indicate a dying down of this weather shortly after 4:00 p.m. CDT.  Based on these analyses, severe weather should remain within the SLIGHT risk area with lowering probabilities late this afternoon.

Please use the following LINKED graphics for up to date severe weather information.

SPC CONVECTIVE WATCH DISPLAY

SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION DISPLAY

NWS HAZARDS AND STATEMENTS DISPLAY…CLICK ON YOUR STATE

INTELLICAST NWS DOPPLER RADAR ANIMATION

Have a blessed day!

T. F. “STORM” WALSH III
GMCS, USCG (ret)
METEOROLOGIST / HURRICANE SPECIALIST / SEVERE WEATHER SPECIALIST
MEMBER WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA AMS
CoCoRAHS OBSERVER
OFFICIAL SKYWARN SPOTTER (ADVANCED)

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About palmharborforecastcenter

I am a Tropical Forecast meteorologist, providing hurricane forecasts during the Atlantic Hurricane Season. I retired from the U.S. Coast Guard in July of 2001. Meteorology became my passion in high school, and I have continued my educational background in meteorology since 1996, when I undertook the study of Tropical Meteorology. While working toward my degree, I had to unexpectedly withdraw from college due to my oldest sons medical reasons. I do however, meet the educational criteria of the AMS to be recognized as a meteorologist. Studies include, but are not limited to the Navy Aerographers Mate course, Naval METOC meteorology course, Meteorology 2010 Sophomore level course while attending St. Petersburg College, Clearwater, FL., Basic Forecasting course for operational meteorologists from Rapid WX, meteorology institute, a four month meteorological internship, and extensive research on numerous meteorological topics such as the MJO, NAO, satellite imagery interpretation, etc. I have been forecasting Tropical Weather (Tropical Storms and Hurricanes) since 1996, with my main client being three different Coast Guard Commands.
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2 Responses to SEVERE WEATHER FORECAST SYNOPSIS…APR. 14, 2014…ISSUED 11:50 A.M. EDT…WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA HURRICANE AND SEVERE WETAHER FORECAST CENTER

  1. dellamom says:

    Thank you Storm, and thanks, too, LT. We are starting to get thunder in Madisonville, Louisiana and the radar shows heavy rains. I really, really, really wish I had cleaned out my garage. Oh, well, maybe my car will only have dimples to match mine 🙂 and not broken glass :(.

  2. originallt says:

    Things are really “lighting-up” on RADAR in the Deep South. Stay safe down there. And thank you, Storm.

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