WINTER WEATHER SYNOPSIS…JAN. 29, 2014…ISSUED 2:15 P.M. EST…PHFC

DONATIONS NEEDED
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Good afternoon everyone!

Basically the same pattern as was talked about 2 days ago.  Most of the U.S. will again, experience minimum night time / morning temperatures below freezing, with freezing conditions once again reach the Florida Panhandle on Thursday.  Beginning late Friday, minimum temperatures begin to warm, especially over the extreme southern U.S., and milder temperatures extending into the Tidewater and Mid Atlantic areas by Sunday.

GFSX MINIMUM TEMPERATURE FORECAST

GFSX 7 DAY PRECIPITATION TYPE FORECAST

Analysis of Global Models yesterday indicated a strong low pressure system moving over the eastern portions of the U.S. by next Thursday, which may have brought blizzard conditions on the western side of the low.  However, this mornings run shows models have backed off on intensity somewhat.  I will be looking at this as we get further into the forecast period to see if any changes occur.  I do expect another shot of cold air around that time (06 FEB.) to once again, extend pretty far south.

GFS 850 MB TEMPERATURE FORECAST MAP
GFS 850

For the west central Florida area where I reside, the coldest of the minimum night time temperatures should occur on Thurs. morning, with lows in the mid 40’s nearer to the coast, and high 30’s to low 40’s further inland away from the immediate coast.

Accumulated snowfall over the next 84 – 96 hours doesn’t appear to be too significant.

INTELLICAST 48 HOUR SNOWFALL FORECAST

NAM 84 HOUR SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION / GFS 96 HOUR SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION

ALL maps and graphics are linked to provide you up to date information.

INTELLICAST NWS DOPPLER RAINS, SNOW, ICE RADAR LOOP

INTELLICAST FROST / FREEZE OUTLOOK

NWS WARNINGS AND ADVISORY DISPLAY…CLICK ON YOUR STATE

Have a blessed day!

T. F. “STORM” WALSH III 
GMCS, USCG (ret) 
METEOROLOGIST / HURRICANE SPECIALIST 
MEMBER WEST CENTRAL FL AMS  
CERTIFIED SKYWARN OFFICIAL STORM SPOTTER (advanced) 
CoCoRaHS OBSERVER

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About palmharborforecastcenter

I am a Tropical Forecast meteorologist, providing hurricane forecasts during the Atlantic Hurricane Season. I retired from the U.S. Coast Guard in July of 2001. Meteorology became my passion in high school, and I have continued my educational background in meteorology since 1996, when I undertook the study of Tropical Meteorology. While working toward my degree, I had to unexpectedly withdraw from college due to my oldest sons medical reasons. I do however, meet the educational criteria of the AMS to be recognized as a meteorologist. Studies include, but are not limited to the Navy Aerographers Mate course, Naval METOC meteorology course, Meteorology 2010 Sophomore level course while attending St. Petersburg College, Clearwater, FL., Basic Forecasting course for operational meteorologists from Rapid WX, meteorology institute, a four month meteorological internship, and extensive research on numerous meteorological topics such as the MJO, NAO, satellite imagery interpretation, etc. I have been forecasting Tropical Weather (Tropical Storms and Hurricanes) since 1996, with my main client being three different Coast Guard Commands.
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5 Responses to WINTER WEATHER SYNOPSIS…JAN. 29, 2014…ISSUED 2:15 P.M. EST…PHFC

  1. Monty says:

    Thanks Storm. We’re finally getting our payback…10 to 30 inches of accumulation in the Mountains and 3 to 12 inches along the foothills and front range. Nice call on the three Arctic outbreaks. It truly sucks that you can’t be higher up on the meteorological food chain. The NWS/NHC is sure missing out because of “that” piece of paper. Great job Senior Chief!!

  2. mike doll says:

    Thanks Storm, Lots of cold and sleet here in South Alabama. roads still iced over and schools cancelled tomorrow ( Thursday). It was not really an ice storm that I am used to. About 3/4 inches of sleet.

  3. dellamom says:

    Storm, if I am reading correctly, there will be another system coming through the Deep South around the 6th. You had said there would be three, and i believe that would be the third. It looks from the map like that one might not be as bad as this one (hopefully), but do you think it will have moisture with it? I know it is out there a ways and subject to error, but would appreciate your thoughts. Mac, I’m glad you did OK. I did OK in Mandeville. We had lots of sleet and I had a “snowball fight” with a friend who is staying with me. I used the sleet buildup off my windshield and she didn’t have anything to throw back at me, so I won since I had all the ammunition. I throw like a girl, which I am, so she was safe! The office in Madisonville was open yesterday until about 1 and opened again at 1 this afternoon, but attendance was voluntary, so most people stayed home. I hope they are keeping notes for the gold stars!

  4. Mac says:

    Thanks Storm!

    No sneaux down here in Covington, LA. But, plenty of freezing rain, sleet, and graupel. And, thank the good Lord, no power outages. There was sneaux recorded in towns just to our North up towards the Miss. border. The temp is up to 33F now, and the sun is breaking through the clouds and melting the ice off the roof, and off the vehicles. No ice on the roadways right here around where I live, but, many bridges, elevated interstate highways and overpasses closed due to icing. Low temp tonight forecasted to be in the upper teens to low 20’s, but then steadily warming up towards the weekend.

    I hope the rest of ya’ll on the gulf coast fared out as well as we did here.

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