Good evening everyone!
This synopsis is a brief summary for the upcoming week.
I’m sure you’ve heard about peat, and repeat. Were looking at another shot of cold air again coming as far south as the Florida Peninsula. Based on current model runs, and MOS Output, I am expecting the coldest of the air to be in place on Wednesday (22nd) / Thursday (23rd) of the upcoming week. Once again, the majority of the U.S. will see below freezing minimum temperatures. Freezing temperatures will once again affect most of the Florida Panhandle with minimum morning temperatures forecast to be between 29F – 32F. Freezing temperatures could temporarily affect the northern 1/3 of the Florida Peninsula, and low temperatures around the Tampa Bay area hitting in the upper 30’s to 40F closer to the coast, and mid 30’s further inland. Thereafter, we should see temperatures begin to moderate somewhat, especially over the south and SE.
The GFS and ECMWF Global models as well as the NAM, are indicating a 992 mb low developing just offshore of the Tidewater area, and deepening to 992 mb east of the Cape Cod area. I will be watching this, and will post updated wind and wave maps, as well as projected snowfall accumulation from the GFS and NAM models.
My next update will most likely be on Tuesday afternoon to early evening.
On a side note, I have been thinking about taking some time off from the winter weather scene, in order to further research information regarding certain topics as far as the Indian Ocean Dipole, looking for analog years for the upcoming hurricane season, reviewing various seasons against the NAO index prior to the month of June, etc. Basically, performing a more in depth review of various seasons and parameters to see how these parameters may have affected busy and slow seasons.
Have a blessed evening!
T. F. “STORM” WALSH III
GMCS, USCG (ret)
METEOROLOGIST / HURRICANE SPECIALIST
MEMBER WEST CENTRAL FL AMS
CERTIFIED SKYWARN OFFICIAL STORM SPOTTER (advanced)