WINTER WEATHER FORECAST SYNOPSIS…UPDATE…JAN. 14, 2014…ISSUED 11:05 A.M. EST…PHFC

DONATIONS NEEDED AND APPRECIATED
Funny dog holds dollars in mouth, isolated white background

Good afternoon everyone!

Some of this synopsis is from yesterday’s forecast.

Not too much change in the forecast of another shot of cold air coming southward, albeit more of a Polar shot, vice an Arctic outbreak.  Analysis of the GFS and NAM models this morning indicate a corridor of cold air from the Central Plains area, south and eastward by the 16th.  Albeit minimum nighttime temperatures are not forecast to be brutal, most of the country can expect temperatures to be below freezing, with freezing temperatures once again reaching portions of the Florida Panhandle with some lows expected to be in the upper 20′s, to 30.   Cold temperatures overnight on the 15th will be over portions of the central Florida area, but have modified on the current model runs.  The Tampa Bay area may see overnight lows in the upper 30′s inland, to mid 40′s closer to the coast at sunrise.  Minimum temperatures are forecast to fluctuate somewhat, over the coastal regions of the Gulf Coast, being somewhat warmer on Friday morning, then turning colder on Saturday morning, before a slow recovery begins.  Expect cold low temperatures to remain through the weekend.

GFSX MINIMUM TEMPERATURE FORECAST

INTELLICAST FROST / FREEZE DISPLAY

Precipitation over the East Coast and Eastern U.S. should be ending by late this afternoon to early evening.

INTELLICAST NWS DOPPLER RADAR LOOP

The following is the accumulated snowfall output over the next 72 hours as projected by the GFS and NAM models from 12Z this morning

GFS 72 HOUR SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION FORECAST

NAM 72 HOUR SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION FORECAST

NWS HAZARDS AND WARNINGS DISPLAY

ALL graphics are linked so you may click on them for closeup views and up to date data.

Have a blessed day!

T. F. “STORM” WALSH III 
GMCS, USCG (ret) 
METEOROLOGIST / HURRICANE SPECIALIST 
MEMBER WEST CENTRAL FL AMS  
CERTIFIED SKYWARN OFFICIAL STORM SPOTTER (advanced) 
CoCoRaHS OBSERVER

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About palmharborforecastcenter

I am a Tropical Forecast meteorologist, providing hurricane forecasts during the Atlantic Hurricane Season. I retired from the U.S. Coast Guard in July of 2001. Meteorology became my passion in high school, and I have continued my educational background in meteorology since 1996, when I undertook the study of Tropical Meteorology. While working toward my degree, I had to unexpectedly withdraw from college due to my oldest sons medical reasons. I do however, meet the educational criteria of the AMS to be recognized as a meteorologist. Studies include, but are not limited to the Navy Aerographers Mate course, Naval METOC meteorology course, Meteorology 2010 Sophomore level course while attending St. Petersburg College, Clearwater, FL., Basic Forecasting course for operational meteorologists from Rapid WX, meteorology institute, a four month meteorological internship, and extensive research on numerous meteorological topics such as the MJO, NAO, satellite imagery interpretation, etc. I have been forecasting Tropical Weather (Tropical Storms and Hurricanes) since 1996, with my main client being three different Coast Guard Commands.
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4 Responses to WINTER WEATHER FORECAST SYNOPSIS…UPDATE…JAN. 14, 2014…ISSUED 11:05 A.M. EST…PHFC

  1. originallt says:

    Wow, Monty, now those are WINDS!

  2. dellamom says:

    Monty, would that make them “mountain hurricanes”? Hefty windspeeds. I’ll pray no one gets hurt.

  3. Monty says:

    Thanks Storm…stay warm down there!! Here’s a few wind gusts in areas West of DEN…

    0844 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 SSE GOLD HILL 40.04N 105.39W
    01/13/2014 M76.00 MPH BOULDER CO MESONET

    0820 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 SSW CRESCENT VILLAGE 39.90N 105.34W
    01/13/2014 M75.00 MPH JEFFERSON CO MESONET

    0734 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 S EVERGREEN 39.59N 105.34W
    01/13/2014 M102 MPH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

    0247 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 E GOLD HILL 40.06N 105.35W
    01/13/2014 M76.00 MPH BOULDER CO MESONET

    0225 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 ENE GOLD HILL 40.08N 105.36W
    01/13/2014 M78.00 MPH BOULDER CO MESONET

    0209 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 NW GENESEE 39.71N 105.30W
    01/13/2014 M73.00 MPH JEFFERSON CO MESONET

    0200 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 SSW CRESCENT VILLAGE 39.90N 105.34W
    01/13/2014 M76.00 MPH JEFFERSON CO MESONET

    1018 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 SSW CRESCENT VILLAGE 39.90N 105.34W
    01/13/2014 M82.00 MPH JEFFERSON CO MESONET

    1000 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 NE WHITE RANCH OPEN S 39.84N 105.25W
    01/13/2014 M77.00 MPH JEFFERSON CO MESONET

    0951 AM NON-TSTM WND GST ASPEN SPRINGS 39.83N 105.48W
    01/13/2014 M74.00 MPH GILPIN CO MESONET

    0948 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 ENE NEDERLAND 39.98N 105.44W
    01/13/2014 M83.00 MPH BOULDER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

    0938 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 SSE GOLD HILL 40.04N 105.39W
    01/13/2014 M94.00 MPH BOULDER CO MESONET

    0923 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 W BOULDER 40.03N 105.40W
    01/13/2014 M84.00 MPH BOULDER CO MESONET

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