Good afternoon everyone!
Not too much change in the forecast of another shot of cold air coming southward, albeit more of a Polar shot, vice an Arctic outbreak. Analysis of the GFS and NAM models this morning indicate a corridor of cold air from the Central Plains area, south and eastward by the 16th. Albeit minimum nighttime temperatures are not forecast to be brutal, most of the country can expect temperatures to be below freezing, with freezing temperatures once again reaching portions of the Florida Panhandle with some lows expected to be in the upper 20’s. Cold temperatures overnight on the 15th will be over portions of the central Florida area. The Tampa Bay area may see overnight lows in the upper 30’s inland, to lower 40’s closer to the coast.
Prior to the FROPA, rain is expected from around South Carolina, and extending SW to across the Florida Peninsula and GOMEX, with some isolated thunderstorms probable over the Florida area. Rainfall totals are expected to be at least around 0.25″ – 0.50″. I expect the rain to begin by the overnight hours in the Tampa Bay area, with an increase in rain probabilities to 80% in the Tampa Bay FL. area tomorrow morning
Right now, the only main concern for Mariners is winds of 30 – 35 kts well offshore from the Cape Cod area, northward to Nova Scotia. Seas could run on the order of 10 – 12 ft.
ALL maps and graphics are linked…please use them to your advantage by clicking on them.
Have a blessed day!
T. F. “STORM” WALSH III
GMCS, USCG (ret)
METEOROLOGIST / HURRICANE SPECIALIST
MEMBER WEST CENTRAL FL AMS
CERTIFIED SKYWARN OFFICIAL STORM SPOTTER (advanced)