Good morning everyone!
As of analysis this morning, we are beginning to see what will be a coastal low for the NE and New England area in about 60-72 hours, starting to take shape in the extreme northern GOMEX, as a trof of low pressure, which will move pretty much in a NE direction out of the GOMEX, moving over the extreme western portion of the Florida Panhandle, over Georgia, and continuing NE, and eventually exiting along the eastern seaboard off the coastal area of VA/NJ.
This system has the potential to bring some heavy rain along it’s path. As of this morning’s analysis, OPF totals were ranging between 2 – 3 inches total. This could cause low lying areas to see some flooding, along with some localized flooding as well.
This did seem at the beginning to almost resemble a Miller B setup once off the eastern seaboard, however some research performed indicates this appears to set up as a Norlun type trof, in which heavier snowfall on the backside of the coastal low would be limited to narrow banding.
For the most part, winds should remain mostly offshore, but with a brief period for onshore winds along the VA to ME coastal areas, on the order of 30 – 35 mph. This could potentially allow for some minor beach erosion…not ruling out brief minor coastal flooding with seas running around 8 – 9 feet near the coast.
Boaters, it is recommended you stay in port until this system passes, as winds and seas are forecast to be much higher offshore.
ALL maps and graphics are linked to keep you up to date. The NWS Hazard and Warning map will provide you with real time NW Statements and Warnings by clicking on your state.
I will monitor this developing storm over the weekend, and post if necessary.
Have a blessed day!
T. F. “STORM” WALSH III
GMCS, USCG (ret)
METEOROLOGIST / HURRICANE SPECIALIST
MEMBER WEST CENTRAL FL AMS
CERTIFIED SKYWARN OFFICIAL STORM SPOTTER (advanced)