WIDEST DISSEMINATION REQUESTED…TROPICAL STORM KAREN DEVELOPS NEAR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA…TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE WATCH TO BE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE GULF COAST AREA…OCT. 03, 2013…ISSUE 8:20 A.M.

Good morning, I wanted to get something out right away, as all information and updates are not posted yet, and I will have a full update when everything is available.

NHC GRAPHICAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUT LOOK (LINKED)

NHC TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK TEXT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT THU OCT 3 2013
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC…CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO…
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION JERRY…LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC.

1. DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATES THAT THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO HAS BECOME A TROPICAL STORM AND IS PRODUCING WINDS OF UP TO 60 MPH IN THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. A SPECIAL ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR…AND HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM WATCHES WILL BE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE…NEAR 100 PERCENT…OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS…AND A HIGH CHANCE…NEAR 100 PERCENT…OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS AS IT MOVES NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD. ADDITIONALLY…LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS COULD AFFECT PORTIONS OF CUBA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING THE SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CAN BE FOUND UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT… HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO FORECASTER BRENNAN

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About palmharborforecastcenter

I am a Tropical Forecast meteorologist, providing hurricane forecasts during the Atlantic Hurricane Season. I retired from the U.S. Coast Guard in July of 2001. Meteorology became my passion in high school, and I have continued my educational background in meteorology since 1996, when I undertook the study of Tropical Meteorology. While working toward my degree, I had to unexpectedly withdraw from college due to my oldest sons medical reasons. I do however, meet the educational criteria of the AMS to be recognized as a meteorologist. Studies include, but are not limited to the Navy Aerographers Mate course, Naval METOC meteorology course, Meteorology 2010 Sophomore level course while attending St. Petersburg College, Clearwater, FL., Basic Forecasting course for operational meteorologists from Rapid WX, meteorology institute, a four month meteorological internship, and extensive research on numerous meteorological topics such as the MJO, NAO, satellite imagery interpretation, etc. I have been forecasting Tropical Weather (Tropical Storms and Hurricanes) since 1996, with my main client being three different Coast Guard Commands.
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8 Responses to WIDEST DISSEMINATION REQUESTED…TROPICAL STORM KAREN DEVELOPS NEAR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA…TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE WATCH TO BE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE GULF COAST AREA…OCT. 03, 2013…ISSUE 8:20 A.M.

  1. dellamom says:

    Delusion is prepared and watching. Thanks storm.prayers to the Mobile contingent.

  2. Monty says:

    Thanks Storm. As usual…you’re one step ahead of the pack…will continue to alert the gang.

  3. greg goodman says:

    Thanks mr storm and everybody.

  4. karen says:

    Thank you Storm. I’m on the MS. gulf coast & appreciate your updates.

  5. originallt says:

    Thank you so much Storm I saw last night that the area of most convection was going right through the Yucatan Channel. I know you will keep everyone informed on the Gulf Coast. I guess everyone from Dellamom to Greg, and further East into NW Florida must be on alert. Thanks again. You got it right again, as some Mets up here were discounting the storm and saying it wouldn’t amount to much.

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