TROPICAL STORM BARRY FINAL UPDATE…JUNE 20, 2013…ISSUED 1:05 P.M. EDT…PHFC

Good afternoon everyone!

TROPICAL STORM BARRY MAKES LANDFALL IN VERACRUZ MEXICO.

As of the 11:00 a.m. EDT advisory from the NHC, the following was available on Tropical Storm Barry:

10:00 AM CDT Thu Jun 20
Location: 19.6°N 96.6°W
Moving: W at 5 mph
Min pressure: 1004 mb / 29.65 in
Max sustained: 40 mph

HURREVAC TRACKING MAP
TROPICAL STORM BARRY #13

Barry is moving slowly to the west, and this motion is expected to continue until dissipation.

TROPICAL STORM BARRY FLOATER AND GOMEX SATELLITE LOOP

Barry’s peak intensity was 45 mph, albeit satellite imagery and some instrumentation may lead to an upgrade sometime down the road to 50 mph.  In any event, heavy rain can be expected during the next 24 hours with Barry, along with flooding and mudslides.

Kudos the the NHC for a great job!

This will be my final update on Barry.

An area of disturbed weather located north of Hispaniola is associated with a mid to upper level low.  Albeit it is beginning to show a surface reflection around 850 mb based on vorticity, this currently lies within the TUTT axis, and wind shear of at least 30 knots is keeping convection away from the possible surface feature.  I am not really looking for development from this, especially if it turns north then NE. It could have a slim chance at INVEST status if it sneaks into the GOMEX, as wind shear in about 48 hours begins to fluctuate from semi-conducive, then unfavorable and back out to the 96 hour forecast period from 06Z this morning.

CARIBBEAN SATELLITE LOOP

Elsewhere, I will be making a new post later this afternoon regarding the possibility of future development during the latter part of the first week of July.

Have a blessed day!

T. F. “STORM” WALSH III
GMCS, USCG (ret)
METEOROLOGIST / HURRICANE SPECIALIST
MEMBER WEST CENTRAL FL AMS 
CERTIFIED SKYWARN OFFICIAL STORM SPOTTER (advanced)
CoCoRaHS OBSERVER

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About palmharborforecastcenter

I am a Tropical Forecast meteorologist, providing hurricane forecasts during the Atlantic Hurricane Season. I retired from the U.S. Coast Guard in July of 2001. Meteorology became my passion in high school, and I have continued my educational background in meteorology since 1996, when I undertook the study of Tropical Meteorology. While working toward my degree, I had to unexpectedly withdraw from college due to my oldest sons medical reasons. I do however, meet the educational criteria of the AMS to be recognized as a meteorologist. Studies include, but are not limited to the Navy Aerographers Mate course, Naval METOC meteorology course, Meteorology 2010 Sophomore level course while attending St. Petersburg College, Clearwater, FL., Basic Forecasting course for operational meteorologists from Rapid WX, meteorology institute, a four month meteorological internship, and extensive research on numerous meteorological topics such as the MJO, NAO, satellite imagery interpretation, etc. I have been forecasting Tropical Weather (Tropical Storms and Hurricanes) since 1996, with my main client being three different Coast Guard Commands.
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5 Responses to TROPICAL STORM BARRY FINAL UPDATE…JUNE 20, 2013…ISSUED 1:05 P.M. EDT…PHFC

  1. dellamom says:

    Thanks, Storm. I will be looking for the afternoon report since you teased us with “future development.” In the meantime, I hope Barry is gentle with those in his path. Heck, I hope ALL of them this season are gentle with those in their paths. Between fires, floods and tornadoes, it’s been way too active.

    • Thanks dellamom. Yeah, I was gonna do the update for future development on this synopsis, but I have to return some core parts to the auto parts store, and seeing how analysis takes some time, it’s better if I do it when I return.

      • dellamom says:

        That’s something that can wait until the business of life is completed since it is in the future. It’s kind of nice to be dealing with “future” instead of “now,” isn’t it? And I was happy to read about the wind shear being up there, because this time of year wind shear is our friend! Thanks for all the time you give to us.

  2. Monty says:

    Thanks Storm. Kudos to both you and the NHC!!

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