TROPICAL STORM ANDREA / TROPICAL WEATHER SYNOPSIS…JUNE 07, 2013..ISSUED 10:50 A.M. EDT…PHFC

DONATIONS NEEDED
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Good day everyone!

Tropical Storm Andrea is now racing quickly to the NE.  Based on the 8:00 a.m. EDT Intermediate Advisory from the NHC, the following was available on Tropical Storm Andrea:

8:00 AM EDT Fri Jun 7
Location: 33.4°N 80.2°W
Moving: NE at 28 mph
Min pressure: 996 mb / 29.41 in
Max sustained: 45 mph

NHC TRACKING MAP

NHC WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAP

Based on satellite imagery, frontal overlays, and information in the NHC forecast discussion, Andrea has already begun her process of becoming a post / extra-tropical cyclone.  Andrea should maintain current strength over the next 36 hours, before a slow weakening trend begins.  I concur with the NHC Forecast Intensity Scheme.

ANDREA AND EAST COAST SATELLITE LOOP IMAGERY

Based on analysis of current, and forecast steering layers maps, I have no change in my tack thinking, and am inline with the NHC official track.  Residents along the Eastern Seaboard can expect heavy rains, local flooding, and minor coastal flooding, especially at the time of high tide.  Tornadoes are possible as she continues to move to the NE.  Please monitor NOAA Weather Radio, and local NWS office statements for warnings to your area.

NWS LOCAL STATEMENTS
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/index_hls1.shtml

INTELLICAST DOPPLER RADAR NWS

NWS HAZARDS AND WARNINGS DISPLAY (CLICK ON YOUR AREA)

Elsewhere, INVEST 92L has pretty much been sheared apart, and upper level winds are forecast to remain non conducive in the path for the next 96 hours or so.  I am not expecting any development of this as it continues WNW.

INVEST 92L SATELLITE IMAGERY

Another Tropical Wave was added to the 06Z Surface Analysis Map from the NHC.

Satellite loop imagery indicates a possible, very diffuse circulation at the lower levels, however there is a lack of any significant convection.  Satellite stills clearly show the inverted “V” signature of this wave.

TROPICAL WAVE

Currently, wind shear is taking a toll on this feature, however the GFS wind shear forecast shows upper level winds may become a little more conducive in about 3-4 days, and we could see some slightly better organization from this.  However, current and forecast steering suggests this will run into South America before anything significant could occur.

I will be monitoring things on and off this weekend, but for all intents and purposes, the office is closed for the weekend.

Have a blessed day!

T. F. “STORM” WALSH III
GMCS, USCG (ret)
METEOROLOGIST / HURRICANE SPECIALIST
MEMBER WEST CENTRAL FL AMS 
CERTIFIED SKYWARN OFFICIAL STORM SPOTTER (advanced)
CoCoRaHS OBSERVER

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About palmharborforecastcenter

I am a Tropical Forecast meteorologist, providing hurricane forecasts during the Atlantic Hurricane Season. I retired from the U.S. Coast Guard in July of 2001. Meteorology became my passion in high school, and I have continued my educational background in meteorology since 1996, when I undertook the study of Tropical Meteorology. While working toward my degree, I had to unexpectedly withdraw from college due to my oldest sons medical reasons. I do however, meet the educational criteria of the AMS to be recognized as a meteorologist. Studies include, but are not limited to the Navy Aerographers Mate course, Naval METOC meteorology course, Meteorology 2010 Sophomore level course while attending St. Petersburg College, Clearwater, FL., Basic Forecasting course for operational meteorologists from Rapid WX, meteorology institute, a four month meteorological internship, and extensive research on numerous meteorological topics such as the MJO, NAO, satellite imagery interpretation, etc. I have been forecasting Tropical Weather (Tropical Storms and Hurricanes) since 1996, with my main client being three different Coast Guard Commands.
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7 Responses to TROPICAL STORM ANDREA / TROPICAL WEATHER SYNOPSIS…JUNE 07, 2013..ISSUED 10:50 A.M. EDT…PHFC

  1. originallt says:

    The real heavy stuff moved in this evening and has continued on and off all night to this point. I recorded 3.52″ of rain up to midnight. NYC had 3.78″ as of 11pm, and Bridgeport CT. about 4.25″ of rain as of 11pm. Still raining now. Baro. is down to 29.65″. Winds not too bad, Easterly at 10-20mph.

    • originallt says:

      Wound up with 4.10″ , NYC had over 5″ of rain Slowly clearing now, but may have a few more showers later in the day. Temps. 70-75F Baro. is up to 29.88″, not much wind at all.

      • originallt says:

        Edit: NYC did not have over 5″ of rain, officially it was 4.16″ at Central Park–source, Accuweather. Bridgeport CT had 4.43″. and Madison CT. got 6.20″. JFK came in with 4.01″ Philly, had 3.50″, Newark NJ had 3.71″ Just a sampling up here in the Northeast.

  2. Monty says:

    Thanks Storm. I hope everyone on the Eastern Seaboard is well…my gang all had no problems. Thanks again Jedi Master…you are much appreciated!!!

  3. originallt says:

    Thanks Storm, getting periods of moderate rain here now, and occasionally some gusty winds. Baro. is down to 29.91″ Temp. is 59F.–Rain now back down to light. I’ll let you know when and if the real heavy “stuff” moves in.

  4. teammc01 says:

    Thank you, StormW

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