ANOTHER SEVERE WEATHER EVENT ON TAP FOR TODAY
The SPC has indicated a MODERATE risk of SVR TSTMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN KANSAS AND OKLAHOMA INTO WESTERN MISSOURI…
…THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TODAY INTO TONIGHT…SURROUNDING THE MODERATE RISK AREA ACROSS MUCH OF THE EASTERN PLAINS INTO THE MID AND UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY…
…THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN GEORGIA INTO NORTHERN FLORIDA…
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 – EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Analysis of soundings from around the moderate risk area, and analysis of forecast information from F5 Data Severe Weather software, albeit out of 4 different models, 4 different solutions, the consensus seems to be, the highest probability of a Severe Weather Event, and possible isolated, long lived, strong tornadoes, is outlined in the following map, for current time through early evening (8-9 p.m. EDT). Please refer to the maps above, and monitor this situation closely.
T. F. “STORM” WALSH III
GMCS, USCG (ret)
METEOROLOGIST / HURRICANE SPECIALIST
MEMBER WEST CENTRAL FL AMS
CERTIFIED SKYWARN OFFICIAL STORM SPOTTER (advanced)