Late this afternoon…however, as I stated prior, I will be on and off, making short posts, as I am getting into analyzing things for the upcoming hurricane season. Putting a lot of info together to look at, and once I have something to post that will explain a lot…I will. In the meantime, for severe weather, please refer to the short posts, or the following site:
The Storm Prediction Center has indicated a SLIGHT risk of Severe Thunderstorms from SERN CO…WRN AND CNTRL KS…WRN AND CNTRL OK INTO NWRN TX…
…ERN CO…WRN THROUGH CNTRL KS…WRN AND CNTRL OK AND NWRN TX…
As far as the tropics are concerned, forecast conditions tend to indicate conditions favorable for a busy hurricane season. There will be fluctuations in the Atlantic SST over the next 3 weeks, however indications are for a warmer MDR than last year. Various parameters have changed from last season, which is why the indication has been more chance of u.s. landfalls. Once again, as soon as I’m able to have time to analyze more things thoroughly, I will post my take, and also have updated expected storm totals. In the meantime, a good colleague, Levi Cowan, has made an outstanding video and explanation of what some of us in the meteorological realm are looking at.
Please visit Levi’s site…http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/
Have a great evening!
T. F. “STORM” WALSH III
GMCS, USCG (ret)
METEOROLOGIST / HURRICANE SPECIALIST
MEMBER WEST CENTRAL FL AMS
CERTIFIED SKYWARN OFFICIAL STORM SPOTTER (advanced)