SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER SYNOPSIS…MAR. 03, 2013…ISSUED 1:50 P.M. EDT…PHFC

Good afternoon!

Disturbed weather remains over portions of the GOMEX, up through and off the SEUS coast.  This weather is associated with a series of trofs, with a 1008 mb and 1007 mb low over Florida.  There is no organization at this time.  However, analysis of the Global Computer model output this morning, is trending toward low pressure developing either east of Florida, to offshore of the GA. area.  The majority of the model guidance is suggesting the low off the SEUS coast, will continue it’s current track, where in a few days, it phases with a cutoff low that should move offshore.  Some of the guidance indicates this to be non tropical in nature at first, but as it taps the Gulfstream, it may take on a shallow warm core.

GOMEX / EAST COAST SATELLITE LOOP IMAGERY

GFS 24 HOUR FORECAST

GFS 108 HOUR FORECAST

ECMWF 120 HOUR FORECAST

UKMET 96 HOUR FORECAST

NAVGEM 96 HOUR FORECAST

I will be monitoring the area over the weekend.  Albeit nothing may become of this, I will post if there are any significant changes.

Have a blessed day!

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About palmharborforecastcenter

I am a Tropical Forecast meteorologist, providing hurricane forecasts during the Atlantic Hurricane Season. I retired from the U.S. Coast Guard in July of 2001. Meteorology became my passion in high school, and I have continued my educational background in meteorology since 1996, when I undertook the study of Tropical Meteorology. While working toward my degree, I had to unexpectedly withdraw from college due to my oldest sons medical reasons. I do however, meet the educational criteria of the AMS to be recognized as a meteorologist. Studies include, but are not limited to the Navy Aerographers Mate course, Naval METOC meteorology course, Meteorology 2010 Sophomore level course while attending St. Petersburg College, Clearwater, FL., Basic Forecasting course for operational meteorologists from Rapid WX, meteorology institute, a four month meteorological internship, and extensive research on numerous meteorological topics such as the MJO, NAO, satellite imagery interpretation, etc. I have been forecasting Tropical Weather (Tropical Storms and Hurricanes) since 1996, with my main client being three different Coast Guard Commands.
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3 Responses to SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER SYNOPSIS…MAR. 03, 2013…ISSUED 1:50 P.M. EDT…PHFC

  1. Monty says:

    Thanks Storm…nothing like an early start. Hey LT…you’re welcome to have some of our snow!!

  2. originallt says:

    Thanks Storm. Nothing but brilliant sunshine up here, highs 65-70F lows in the mid 40’s. Should be like this thru Sunday or Monday. First possible chance of rain up here, not till next Tuesday. Very dry up here.

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