Good day everyone!
The Storm Prediction Center has indicated a SLIGHT risk of Severe Thunderstorms across THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS TO THE OH/TN VALLEYS…
Based on information contained in the outlook, ample sunshine will lead to sufficient daytime heating, to destabilize the atmosphere and overcome the cap within portions of the risk area. Albeit, the tornado probability is relatively low, various indices and parameters, including the STP (Significant Tornado Parameter) index indicates the probability of isolated tornadoes into evening. The STP maps here and Craven Brooks Index maps are courtesy of Earl Barker. An STP of greater than 1 indicates a greater potential for tornadic activity, and a Craven Brooks value of 45,000> indicates a greater chance of widespread sever weather.
Residents should monitor NOAA Weather Radio, NWS statements, and the maps below for updates.
T. F. “STORM” WALSH III
GMCS, USCG (ret)
METEOROLOGIST / HURRICANE SPECIALIST
MEMBER WEST CENTRAL FL AMS
CERTIFIED SKYWARN OFFICIAL STORM SPOTTER (advanced)