SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SAT., MAR. 30, 2013…ISSUED 2:25 P.M. EDT…PHFC

Greetings everyone!  A little late, but I’m still fighting this chest bug…pretty deep in.

The Storm Prediction Center has issued a SLIGHT risk of Severe Thunderstorms over parts of the SRN AND CNTRL PLNS…

SPC DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

Soundings from around the risk area this morning indicate the main threat to be the likely hood of supercell development, with storms capable of producing hail.  The tornado risk appears to be low with this risk.  However, forecasts of certain sounding parameters indicate as far as the most likely area to be affected by severe cells will be in the outlined area in blue, as SBCAPE values approach 2000-2500 j/kg later this afternoon into  early evening.  Should any tornadic activity come into play, it appears as of the time of my analysis, to be limited to the red circle areas.  In any event, residents within this risk area should monitor the situation closely, and listen to NOAA Weather Radio, and local NWS Offices statements.  Again, please refer to the maps below for real time information updates as the are linked to their respective sights.
day1otlk_1630

SPC CONVECTIVE WATCHES DISPLAY
SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS DISPLAY

NWS HAZARDS AND WARNINGS DISPLAY

INTELLICAST NWS DOPPLER RADAR

Have a safe and Happy Easter everyone!

God Bless!

T. F. “STORM” WALSH III
GMCS, USCG (ret)
METEOROLOGIST / HURRICANE SPECIALIST
MEMBER WEST CENTRAL FL AMS 
CERTIFIED SKYWARN OFFICIAL STORM SPOTTER (advanced)
CoCoRaHS OBSERVER

 

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About palmharborforecastcenter

I am a Tropical Forecast meteorologist, providing hurricane forecasts during the Atlantic Hurricane Season. I retired from the U.S. Coast Guard in July of 2001. Meteorology became my passion in high school, and I have continued my educational background in meteorology since 1996, when I undertook the study of Tropical Meteorology. While working toward my degree, I had to unexpectedly withdraw from college due to my oldest sons medical reasons. I do however, meet the educational criteria of the AMS to be recognized as a meteorologist. Studies include, but are not limited to the Navy Aerographers Mate course, Naval METOC meteorology course, Meteorology 2010 Sophomore level course while attending St. Petersburg College, Clearwater, FL., Basic Forecasting course for operational meteorologists from Rapid WX, meteorology institute, a four month meteorological internship, and extensive research on numerous meteorological topics such as the MJO, NAO, satellite imagery interpretation, etc. I have been forecasting Tropical Weather (Tropical Storms and Hurricanes) since 1996, with my main client being three different Coast Guard Commands.
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2 Responses to SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SAT., MAR. 30, 2013…ISSUED 2:25 P.M. EDT…PHFC

  1. Monty says:

    Thanks Storm. Get well soon Jedi Master!! My prayers are with you. I’ll pass this on to interests in DFW. Thanks again buddy…get well!!

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