Greetings everyone! A little late, but I’m still fighting this chest bug…pretty deep in.
The Storm Prediction Center has issued a SLIGHT risk of Severe Thunderstorms over parts of the SRN AND CNTRL PLNS…
Soundings from around the risk area this morning indicate the main threat to be the likely hood of supercell development, with storms capable of producing hail. The tornado risk appears to be low with this risk. However, forecasts of certain sounding parameters indicate as far as the most likely area to be affected by severe cells will be in the outlined area in blue, as SBCAPE values approach 2000-2500 j/kg later this afternoon into early evening. Should any tornadic activity come into play, it appears as of the time of my analysis, to be limited to the red circle areas. In any event, residents within this risk area should monitor the situation closely, and listen to NOAA Weather Radio, and local NWS Offices statements. Again, please refer to the maps below for real time information updates as the are linked to their respective sights.
Have a safe and Happy Easter everyone!
T. F. “STORM” WALSH III
GMCS, USCG (ret)
METEOROLOGIST / HURRICANE SPECIALIST
MEMBER WEST CENTRAL FL AMS
CERTIFIED SKYWARN OFFICIAL STORM SPOTTER (advanced)