Good day everyone!
The Storm Prediction Center has indicated a SLIGHT risk for Severe Thunderstorms LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING FROM E CENTRAL TX ACROSS NRN LA TO W CENTRAL MS…
Based on analysis of the information in the outlook, and parameters analyzed through F5 Data severe wx software, a little more significant chance for severe weather and possible tornadoes exists.
…E TX…NRN LA…W CENTRAL MS THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING…BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 60S ARE SPREADING NWD INTO SE TX…WITH UPPER 60S ACROSS THE LOWER TX COAST. MEANWHILE…STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD TX FROM THE W. THE INCREASING LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE…MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES OF 7.5-8 C/KM…AND DAYTIME HEATING WILL BOOST AFTERNOON MLCAPE VALUES TO THE 1500-2500 J/KG RANGE FROM E TX INTO NRN LA ALONG AND S OF THE FRONT.
Information analyzed on F5 Data indicates the best chance of severe weather, and tornadic activity, which could be strong/isolated tornadoes, is marked in orange for early this afternoon, and red, for late this afternoon/early evening.
Residents within the risk area should monitor this closely, and listen to NOAA Weather Radio and NWS Statements and warnings if issued.
Again, keep in mind, you can always keep track of live updated maps and statements by clicking any of the following maps, which are linked.
The Storm Prediction Center indicates another SLIGHT risk of severe weather for tomorrow.
Stay safe, and have a blessed weekend!
T. F. “STORM” WALSH III
GMCS, USCG (ret)
METEOROLOGIST / HURRICANE SPECIALIST
MEMBER WEST CENTRAL FL AMS
CERTIFIED SKYWARN OFFICIAL STORM SPOTTER (advanced)