SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK…MAR. 19, 2013…ISSUED 10:45 A.M. EDT…PHFC

Good day everyone!

The Storm Prediction Center has indicated a SLIGHT risk of Severe Thunderstorms for portions of CENTRAL/S TX…

SPC DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

The closest sounding this morning was out of CRP showed steep lapse rates from the 850 mb level, upward.  Given the lack of substantial surface based CAPE, the main threat with any developing supercells should be hail.  At the particular moment, F5 Data Severe Weather software does not indicate anything potentially dangerous.

SPC CONVECTIVE WATCH DISPLAY

SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS DISPLAY

NWS HAZARD AND WARNING DISPLAY

INTELLICAST NWS DOPPLER RADAR

I will be addressing the next offshore low, and blast of Arctic air due to arrive shortly, in tomorrows synopsis.

Have a blessed day!

T. F. “STORM” WALSH III
GMCS, USCG (ret)
METEOROLOGIST / HURRICANE SPECIALIST
MEMBER WEST CENTRAL FL AMS 
CERTIFIED SKYWARN OFFICIAL STORM SPOTTER (advanced)
CoCoRaHS OBSERVER

Advertisements

About palmharborforecastcenter

I am a Tropical Forecast meteorologist, providing hurricane forecasts during the Atlantic Hurricane Season. I retired from the U.S. Coast Guard in July of 2001. Meteorology became my passion in high school, and I have continued my educational background in meteorology since 1996, when I undertook the study of Tropical Meteorology. While working toward my degree, I had to unexpectedly withdraw from college due to my oldest sons medical reasons. I do however, meet the educational criteria of the AMS to be recognized as a meteorologist. Studies include, but are not limited to the Navy Aerographers Mate course, Naval METOC meteorology course, Meteorology 2010 Sophomore level course while attending St. Petersburg College, Clearwater, FL., Basic Forecasting course for operational meteorologists from Rapid WX, meteorology institute, a four month meteorological internship, and extensive research on numerous meteorological topics such as the MJO, NAO, satellite imagery interpretation, etc. I have been forecasting Tropical Weather (Tropical Storms and Hurricanes) since 1996, with my main client being three different Coast Guard Commands.
This entry was posted in Severe Weather. Bookmark the permalink.

3 Responses to SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK…MAR. 19, 2013…ISSUED 10:45 A.M. EDT…PHFC

  1. originallt says:

    Hi Storm, Monty and all. We received about 4″ of snow from the last storm– pretty impressive for late March. Looking for possibly another storm for next Mon/Tues. Glad your move went OK Monty.

  2. Thanks Storm. I’m finally back at work after the move. That looks close enough to SAT/IAH to pass this on. Thanks always for keeping us informed!!

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s