Good day everyone!
Model analysis this morning still shows an upcoming winter system that may skirt the east coast IVO the MA., RI., NH., VT. area in about 8 days. At the moment, models are still divergent on strength and exact location, however given precipitation will be loved and looking at the spacing of the isobars on the 1000-500 mb thickness maps, residents in those ares should again be prepared to tackle possible blizzard conditions. The coastal areas however, should be spared any coastal flooding, given most of the areas will be under a NW wind flow. Strong winds and frozen precipitation could again cause power outages and downed power lines. I expect to have more of an accurate picture on this, as model consensus should come together better at about 72 hours out.
Elsewhere, analysis of surface, and upper level charts seem to indicate to me there could possibly be a chance for some severe weather in about 5-7 days around the Ohio / Tennessee Valley region. Confidence is low at the moment, however based on vorticity, upper level jetstreak, and negative tilt trof, the possibility could exist.
Have a blessed day!
T. F. “STORM” WALSH III
GMCS, USCG (ret)
METEOROLOGIST / HURRICANE SPECIALIST
MEMBER WEST CENTRAL FL AMS
CERTIFIED SKYWARN OFFICIAL STORM SPOTTER (advanced)