UPCOMING COASTAL SYSTEM…MAR. 11, 2013…ISSUED 8:45 P.M. EDT…PHFC

Good evening!

The Storm Prediction Center doesn’t indicate any severe weather over the next 3-5 days.

Elsewhere, Global models are projecting another storm at the coast, around Mass., N.H. Vermont in about 8-10 days.  Right now the ECMWF shows a little weaker system than the GFS.  However, the GFS just picked up on this, in pretty much the same location as the ECMWF.  The 06Z run of the GFS did not show this, and kept the next set of lows further north, over extreme southern Canada.  I am going to be looking at consecutive runs on both, and will have a better idea of what we could be looking at around that time.  However, it appears some of the same conditions will be in store (Snow, Blizzard conditions, etc.) As current isobar spacing suggests 30-40 mph sustained wind from the NW.  One positive note is, should this pan out as projected, the wind flow will remain offshore, so there should not be the threat of coastal flooding.

ECMWF

GFS

I ‘ll have more on this as the time draws near.

I was able to get the hurricane tracking software problem taken care of.  I am a registered user of HURREVAC, and will be using it this season.  Here is a garphic from a current South PAC storm:
CYCLONE SANDRA ADV9

Have a great evening!

T. F. “STORM” WALSH III
GMCS, USCG (ret)
METEOROLOGIST / HURRICANE SPECIALIST
MEMBER WEST CENTRAL FL AMS 
CERTIFIED SKYWARN OFFICIAL STORM SPOTTER (advanced)
CoCoRaHS OBSERVER

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About palmharborforecastcenter

I am a Tropical Forecast meteorologist, providing hurricane forecasts during the Atlantic Hurricane Season. I retired from the U.S. Coast Guard in July of 2001. Meteorology became my passion in high school, and I have continued my educational background in meteorology since 1996, when I undertook the study of Tropical Meteorology. While working toward my degree, I had to unexpectedly withdraw from college due to my oldest sons medical reasons. I do however, meet the educational criteria of the AMS to be recognized as a meteorologist. Studies include, but are not limited to the Navy Aerographers Mate course, Naval METOC meteorology course, Meteorology 2010 Sophomore level course while attending St. Petersburg College, Clearwater, FL., Basic Forecasting course for operational meteorologists from Rapid WX, meteorology institute, a four month meteorological internship, and extensive research on numerous meteorological topics such as the MJO, NAO, satellite imagery interpretation, etc. I have been forecasting Tropical Weather (Tropical Storms and Hurricanes) since 1996, with my main client being three different Coast Guard Commands.
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