SEVERE WEATHER THREAT SYNOPSIS…MAR. 08, 2013…ISSUED 6:50 P.M. EST…PHFC

Good evening!

Better late than never.  Visiting with company today.

The Storm Prediction Center has issued a SLIGHT risk of Severe Thunderstorms across the SRN HIGH PLAINS REGION…

SPC DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

Analysis of the SPC outlook text, and analysis of F5 Severe Weather Software Data…based on the NAM-WRF and RAP model solutions, the main threat tonight may be hail, and some damaging straight line winds.  However, certain thermodynamic parameters indicate the formation of isolated tornadoes could become possible, maybe strong if the thermodynamic and Kinematic parameters come into play near the dryline.  The time frame on this with the recent run appears to be between 9:00 P.M. to 12:00 Midnight, CST.  The greatest threat for severe weather and possible tornadic activity is within the red outlined areas in the following map:
day1otlk_2000

Residents within these areas should monitor NOAA Weather Radio, and local NWS Statements and advisories.  As always, please use the maps for updated real time info, as they are linked.

The SPC has issued a SLIGHT risk of Severe Thunderstorms in the DAY 2 Outlook, which will be addressed tomorrow.

SPC CONVECTIVE WATCH DISPLAY

SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION DISPLAY

NWS HAZARD AND WARNING DISPLAY

INTELLICAST NWS DOPPLER RADAR

Have a blessed evening!

T. F. “STORM” WALSH III
GMCS, USCG (ret)
METEOROLOGIST / HURRICANE SPECIALIST
MEMBER WEST CENTRAL FL AMS 
CERTIFIED SKYWARN OFFICIAL STORM SPOTTER (advanced)
CoCoRaHS OBSERVER

Advertisements

About palmharborforecastcenter

I am a Tropical Forecast meteorologist, providing hurricane forecasts during the Atlantic Hurricane Season. I retired from the U.S. Coast Guard in July of 2001. Meteorology became my passion in high school, and I have continued my educational background in meteorology since 1996, when I undertook the study of Tropical Meteorology. While working toward my degree, I had to unexpectedly withdraw from college due to my oldest sons medical reasons. I do however, meet the educational criteria of the AMS to be recognized as a meteorologist. Studies include, but are not limited to the Navy Aerographers Mate course, Naval METOC meteorology course, Meteorology 2010 Sophomore level course while attending St. Petersburg College, Clearwater, FL., Basic Forecasting course for operational meteorologists from Rapid WX, meteorology institute, a four month meteorological internship, and extensive research on numerous meteorological topics such as the MJO, NAO, satellite imagery interpretation, etc. I have been forecasting Tropical Weather (Tropical Storms and Hurricanes) since 1996, with my main client being three different Coast Guard Commands.
This entry was posted in Severe Weather. Bookmark the permalink.

2 Responses to SEVERE WEATHER THREAT SYNOPSIS…MAR. 08, 2013…ISSUED 6:50 P.M. EST…PHFC

  1. originallt says:

    Thanks Storm , Hi Monty. Hope you had a nice day with your company, Storm. We did finally get our snow from the coastal storm that hit the Middle Atlantic and Northeastern States. The snow started Thurs. night and lasted into Friday mid day. Most of the accumulation was during the over night period. We got 6″, but by tonight, it had melted or compacted down to about 2-3″ on my front lawn. The main low was way out in the Atlantic, over 500miles off shore, but it “captured a disturbance moving SE from the Great Lakes, and this enhanced the snow for SE NY and most of Central and Eastern to Southeastern New England. I think they called it a “Norlun Trough” set-up. Some areas of Eastern Mass. had over 20″ of snow! All of it the “heavy, wet, variety”. Thats it for now Have a great weekend Storm, Monty, and all who visit Storm’s blog. LT Stamford CT. PS, good luck with your snow storm Monty!

  2. Thanks Storm. I’ll pass this on to friends in MAF…LBB…SAT…DFW. We seem to have a little storm to worry about in DEN as well. I’ll post snow accumulation totals from NWS Spotters as soon as I get them. God Bless!!

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s