Good evening all!
I apologize for the lateness of this.
I really have no change in the forecast for the colder weather that will approach late this weekend into early next week.
Very cold polar air will dip south, and the majority of the country will be at or below freezing for minimum morning temperatures by Monday. Very cold Polar air will make it into Florida as well, with freezing temperatures reaching close to central Florida.
Upon analysis of the GFS, ECMWF 850 mb temperatures, and the NAM 1000-500 mb thickness charts, the freezing line passes west central Florida as far south as the Ft. Myers area.
The current MOS Output still indicates minimum night time temperatures in central FL. to be on the side of the low to mid 40’s, with mid 30’s inland. Given the fact the freezing line at both the 850 and 500 mb levels on both the GFS and NAM reaches the Ft. Myers/Naples area, I believe minimum temps may reach lower than projected in FL.
Given the temperature forecast, and precip behind the freezing line, I cannot rule out the possibility for very brief snow flurries for a portion of the west FL. area, albeit melting before reaching ground level.
Have a great weekend!
T. F. “STORM” WALSH III
GMCS, USCG (ret)
METEOROLOGIST / HURRICANE SPECIALIST
MEMBER WEST CENTRAL FL AMS
CERTIFIED SKYWARN OFFICIAL STORM SPOTTER (advanced)