Good day everyone!
The SPC does not indicate any severe weather over the next 3 days, but does indicate the probability of Severe Thunderstorms in the day 4 probability outlook for portions of FL., AL., GA., and SC.
Analysis of F5 Data software severe parameters from the GFS, NAM-WRF, and NOGAPS models tend to suggest the possible severe threat could be possibly further north during the noon to early evening hours, shifting southward late in the evening, in which I have outlined with green for northern parameters, and blue for southern parameters. Based on SWEAT Index value parameters, Total Totals Index, Showalter Index, Lifted Index, etc. we could be looking at mainly isolated severe thunderstorms, which appears to be around a 50/50 chance.
It appears based on information in the current report, that storms are likely to be linear…however the formation of any surface based mesocyclones could have the potential to spawn isolated tornadoes. I will continue to monitor this, and will update on Monday morning.
Have a great weekend!