Good day everyone!
The Storm Prediction Center has indicated a SLIGHT risk of severe thunderstorms over parts of the ARKLATEX region.
Based on information contained in the outlook, and current analysis of severe weather parameters, the main threat with this could be limited to hail and strong winds, albeit isolated tornadoes cannot be ruled out.
Analysis of these parameters leads me to believe the area for greatest risk of severe weather will be located within the outlined SLIGHT risk area…however later in the afternoon to early evening, this may shift slightly further to the NNE over more of Arkansas.
The SPC has also indicated a SLIGHT risk for severe thunderstorms in the Day 3 Outlook, and indicates a probability of severe thunderstorms in the Day 4 Outlook.
These areas will be addressed as they become the current Day 1 Outlook.
Elsewhere, a powerful low pressure system centered north of the Great Lakes region will bring strong winds out of the NW and Lake Effects Snow to parts of the NE within the next 36 hours, reinforcing the extremely cold weather.
Have a blessed day!
T. F. “STORM” WALSH III
GMCS, USCG (ret)
METEOROLOGIST / HURRICANE SPECIALIST
MEMBER WEST CENTRAL FL AMS
CERTIFIED SKYWARN OFFICIAL STORM SPOTTER (advanced)