SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK…WIDEST DISSEMINATION REQUESTED…FEB 10, 2013…ISSUED 4:30 P.M. EST…PHFC

Good day everyone!

The Storm Prediction Center has issued a SLIGHT risk for Severe Thunderstorms FROM LA INTO AL…

SPC DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

Based on analysis of the outlook, and various  severe weather and tornado parameters, isolated tornadoes can be expected overnight, from SERN TX into AL.

Based on analysis of forecast severe weather parameters from the GFS, NAM-WRF, and RAP models, any tornadic activity will most likely occur  in the area outlined in red on the following map, between the hours of 6:00 p.m. – 9:00 p.m. CDT.

day1otlk_1630

Residents under the risk area are urged to monitor NOAA Weather Radio, local NWS office statements, and local Emergency Management officials.

SPC CONVECTIVE WATCHES DISPLAY

SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS DISPLAY

NWS WARNINGS AND HAZARD MAP (CLICK ON YOUR AREA OF INTEREST)

INTELLICAST NWS DOPPLER RADAR LOOP (INTERACTIVE)

Have a blessed evening!

T. F. “STORM” WALSH III
GMCS, USCG (ret)
METEOROLOGIST / HURRICANE SPECIALIST
MEMBER WEST CENTRAL FL AMS 
CERTIFIED SKYWARN OFFICIAL STORM SPOTTER (advanced)
CoCoRaHS OBSERVER

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About palmharborforecastcenter

I am a Tropical Forecast meteorologist, providing hurricane forecasts during the Atlantic Hurricane Season. I retired from the U.S. Coast Guard in July of 2001. Meteorology became my passion in high school, and I have continued my educational background in meteorology since 1996, when I undertook the study of Tropical Meteorology. While working toward my degree, I had to unexpectedly withdraw from college due to my oldest sons medical reasons. I do however, meet the educational criteria of the AMS to be recognized as a meteorologist. Studies include, but are not limited to the Navy Aerographers Mate course, Naval METOC meteorology course, Meteorology 2010 Sophomore level course while attending St. Petersburg College, Clearwater, FL., Basic Forecasting course for operational meteorologists from Rapid WX, meteorology institute, a four month meteorological internship, and extensive research on numerous meteorological topics such as the MJO, NAO, satellite imagery interpretation, etc. I have been forecasting Tropical Weather (Tropical Storms and Hurricanes) since 1996, with my main client being three different Coast Guard Commands.
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4 Responses to SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK…WIDEST DISSEMINATION REQUESTED…FEB 10, 2013…ISSUED 4:30 P.M. EST…PHFC

  1. DKMac says:

    Thanks Storm! It’s not looking too good for the Mardi Gras parades in the New Orleans Metro and Mobile tomorrow. NWS predicting up to 6 inches of rain for the area. The “Biggest Party on Earth” may be a little soggy this year.

  2. Thanks Storm. Your updates are helpful even to those of us who are not in the spotlight shined upon by your analyses. What they do is give us peace of mind when the skies look bleak but we know (with your kind words) that the troubles are to be expected elsewhere! That is why our Sunday prayers are directed, not at ourselves, but in those other areas which seem to need it more. Again. Thanks – RSS

  3. Monty says:

    Thanks Storm. I will pass this on to the gang in IAH…SHV and MSY. As always…thank you Jedi Master!! My prayers are with all of you in the NEUS.

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