Good evening everyone!
Hope your weekend was well!
Not too much to speak of on the weather front.
The SPC does not indicate any severe weather over the next week, but as always, this will be monitored for any changes.
Upon analysis of the GFS and ECMWF computer models, and the NAO/AO indices, the pattern does not look to change much, if at all over the next 7 days. I’m looking at fairly mild maximum temperatures over much of the U.S. this week, however freezing to below freezing minimum temperatures will remain in place over much of the west and northern 3/4 of the country. Some features noted however, which are in the long range out to 14-16 days…the GFS is showing a low sliding off the east coast south of Bermuda, becoming cutoff, and becoming warm core. I’m not totally buying this right now, but will keep abreast of it. In about 12-14 days, based on the AO and the computer models, we could see another shot of Arctic air coming further south than the last one, with possible freezing temps into central FL. Again, this is out to 360 hours, and will most likely change. So far, in my professional opinion, this winter has been inline with a La Nina winter signal.
Have a great evening!
T. F. “STORM” WALSH III
GMCS, USCG (ret)
METEOROLOGIST / HURRICANE SPECIALIST
MEMBER WEST CENTRAL FL AMS
CERTIFIED SKYWARN OFFICIAL STORM SPOTTER (advanced)