SEVERE WEATHER SYNOPSIS…JAN 30, 2013…ISSUED 9:30 A.M. EST…PHFC

Good day everyone!

Severe weather continues this morning with the Storm Prediction Center indicating a SLIGHT risk for Severe Thunderstorms FROM THE UPPER OH VALLEY SWD TO THE CNTRL GULF COAST AND EWD TO THE MIDDLE AND SERN ATLANTIC COAST…

As seen in the outlook map, this covers the SE, ESTRN SEABOARD, DELMARVA AND PIEDMONT REGIONS.

SPC DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

Based on information contained in the outlook, and careful analysis of various severe weather and tornado parameters, along with forecast sounding values, The main threat today appears to be wind damage, however recent analysis of Doppler Radar SRV loops indicate numerous rotating supercell storms, and brief TVS associated with the approaching squall line.  Albeit parameters today are not as favorable as yesterday for tornadic activity, tornadoes could be embedded in LEWP’s (Line Echo Wave Pattern) associated with and ahead of the QLCS (Quasi Linear Convective System).

DOPPLER RADAR SHOWING QLCS

Tornadic activity if any, will be at greatest potential in the hatched area of the Wind Outlook map above as the afternoon wears on.  As of the posting of this synopsis, there were 4 active Tornado Watches in effect, and 1 Severe Thunderstorm Watch in effect.

Residents within the risk area are urged to monitor NOAA Weather Radio, Local NWS Statements, and Local Emergency Management regarding severe weather updates.

Again, the Watches Maps, Doppler Radar, and NWS Hazards and Warnings map are all interactive…just click your mouse on them for real time updates.

DOPPLER RADAR LOOP

SPC CONVECTIVE WATCHES DISPLAY

SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS DISPLAY

NWS HAZARDS AND WARNINGS MAP

Please stay safe, and have a blessed day!

T. F. “STORM” WALSH III
GMCS, USCG (ret)
METEOROLOGIST / HURRICANE SPECIALIST
MEMBER WEST CENTRAL FL AMS 
CERTIFIED SKYWARN OFFICIAL STORM SPOTTER (advanced)
CoCoRaHS OBSERVER

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About palmharborforecastcenter

I am a Tropical Forecast meteorologist, providing hurricane forecasts during the Atlantic Hurricane Season. I retired from the U.S. Coast Guard in July of 2001. Meteorology became my passion in high school, and I have continued my educational background in meteorology since 1996, when I undertook the study of Tropical Meteorology. While working toward my degree, I had to unexpectedly withdraw from college due to my oldest sons medical reasons. I do however, meet the educational criteria of the AMS to be recognized as a meteorologist. Studies include, but are not limited to the Navy Aerographers Mate course, Naval METOC meteorology course, Meteorology 2010 Sophomore level course while attending St. Petersburg College, Clearwater, FL., Basic Forecasting course for operational meteorologists from Rapid WX, meteorology institute, a four month meteorological internship, and extensive research on numerous meteorological topics such as the MJO, NAO, satellite imagery interpretation, etc. I have been forecasting Tropical Weather (Tropical Storms and Hurricanes) since 1996, with my main client being three different Coast Guard Commands.
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6 Responses to SEVERE WEATHER SYNOPSIS…JAN 30, 2013…ISSUED 9:30 A.M. EST…PHFC

  1. originallt says:

    I wound up with 1.12″ of rain, and a peak wind gust of 56mph. Baro. got down to 29.13″

  2. originallt says:

    Unfortunately a good call Storm, where you said the tornados might be, they were!

  3. Mike says:

    That line is getting closer to us here in South Alabama. Looks like it should get to Baldwin county in about 15 minutes. WInds are gusty and sky is dreary!!

  4. originallt says:

    Thanks Storm. Looks like quite a rain event for me in Sw CT. I don’t think we will have much severe weather up here , it’s still pretty cool out side, but I guess we could get a T. Storm still. Will let you know.

  5. Thanks Storm. I still have one in CHS. I’ll pass it along. I haven’t heard of any damage reports from anyone…that is good. Stay safe everyone!!

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