Good day everyone!
The Storm Prediction Center still does not indicate any severe weather threat over the next 5 days.
SPC CONVECTIVE OUTLOOKS PAGE
Not really any change to the forecast I’ve been speaking of over the past week. I am still expecting the Arctic Blast to arrive in about 6-7 days. Very cold air will make it possibly as far south as Northern FL., where overnight low temps at that time could be flirting with freezing. North of there, looking for most of the U.S to be under freezing to below freezing conditions as this comes to fruition. Lows in Central FL. could range around the upper 30’s to low 40’s during those days overnight. Once this event falls under the 72 hour forecast mark, should have a better idea on how cold it will actually become, as computer model analysis tends to indicate a slight pulling north of the freezing temperatures to around south GA.
GFS 850 MB TEMPERATURE MAP
ECMWF 850 MB TEMPERATURE MAP
GFSX MINIMUM TEMPERATURE FORECAST
The following are the current computer snowfall output maps from the ETA and GFS models.
ETA 84 HOUR SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION
GFS 120 HOUR SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION
NWS DOPPLER RADAR LOOP
I will be following this through the week, however I will post again Friday, unless a threat for severe weather pops up.
Have a blessed day!
T. F. “STORM” WALSH III
GMCS, USCG (ret)
METEOROLOGIST / HURRICANE SPECIALIST
MEMBER WEST CENTRAL FL AMS
CERTIFIED SKYWARN OFFICIAL STORM SPOTTER (advanced)
CoCoRaHS OBSERVER
will cold air get south fl?
Javier, right now, I don’t think it will get that far.
We haven’t seen the sun much here since Christmas. Friday, Saturday and Sunday are supposed to be sunny, which is good because I am moving my things from my house in Mandeville, where my mother is stilll living, to my husband’s house in Mandeville and would hate to do it in the rain. Also, daytime temps are supposed to be in the 50s and low 60s, which is better than the 40s we have now. I will also be taking down my weather station components, which I have not been able to use thus far, and bringing them to the Chalmette (Southshore) house. I’ve had it a year and have not had it consistently up and running except for temperature readings in all that time. The rain gauge was set up but never did record for some reason. I do have a manual gauge which will also be coming to Chalmette. Monty, I don’t know how you do it, but I’d be screaming for the sun belt right about now, even if it’s not so sunny at present.
Trust me Dellamom…the Birth Home (New Orleans) is sounding real good…or Tampa…Phoenix or even back in Los Angeles!!
Thanks Storm. We’re finally pulling out of another week long deep freeze. Temps struggled to hit 15F a couple of days. Lows west of DEN got down to -40F with a 15 to 20 mph wind. Hopefully…you guys won’t get it as bad!!
Yikes!
Thanks for the “heads-up” Monty. As Storm says, “Yikes”!
Thanks Storm. We wound up with 1.5-2″ of snow here in Stamford CT. The precip. has stopped now and the temp. is rising, up to 33F. Baro. is starting to rise at 29.98″ Wind is NE to NW but very light. It’s totally cloudy.