Good day all!
I know there was some severe weather over the weekend. This was not indicated in the SPC outlooks prior to my taking off for the weekend. I do have to say though, I MUST take the weekends off, in order to avoid burnout. In the event a significant outbreak could occur, I will be on.
The SPC doesn’t indicate any severe weather threat again, over the next 3-5 days. However based on my analysis this morning of mid and upper air charts, I feel there COULD be a possible area for a slight chance of severe thunderstorms over a small portion of the SE by Friday. I will be analyzing this over the course of the week, and see if it comes to fruition. I do have a link on the sidebar for the SPC for those who wish to keep up to date if I am not available.
Elsewhere, I am looking at a brief cool down over the U.S. around the 18th. Based on my analysis of the Global and Ensemble computer models, it appears the first Arctic Blast of the season may take shape around the 23rd-24th of this month. Models agree on freezing minimum temperatures reaching as far south at this time, to the GA/FL line, if not a little further into the northern portion of FL. I will be watching and addressing this throughout the week. I will be at the college on Tuesday and Thursday but will try to update prior to leaving for class.
Have a blessed day!
T. F. “STORM” WALSH III
GMCS, USCG (ret)
METEOROLOGIST / HURRICANE SPECIALIST
MEMBER WEST CENTRAL FL AMS
CERTIFIED SKYWARN OFFICIAL STORM SPOTTER (advanced)