Good day everyone!
The Storm Prediction Center (SPC), Norman, OK. has issued a SLIGHT risk for Severe Thunderstorms over parts of the Central Gulf Coast region, and over parts of AR and the far/lower TN/OH valley region.
12Z soundings from around the risk areas indicated lapse rates to be moderate to weak. However, the nature of the wind fields at various levels, along with ample moisture and associated outflow boundary as noted in the outlook, will have the potential to produce a squall line with embedded rotation and LEWPS. The main threat appears to be damaging thunderstorm winds. However given a unidirectional flow on the SE flank of the system, some tornadic activity cannot be ruled out. In fact, some tornado warnings have already been issued earlier this morning. As it comes to late afternoon/early evening, the threat should diminish for the Gulf Coast as this system moves EWD, however a secondary threat may be likely over portions of the lower Ohio and Tennessee Valley region late this afternoon into early evening.
Residents in the risk areas are urged to monitor NOAA Weather Radio, and their local NWS offices for updated information. NWS Statements, advisories and warnings may be found by clicking on your state on the NWS Hazards map.
NWS DOPPLER RADAR LOOPS
Be safe and have a blessed day!
T. F. “STORM” WALSH III
GMCS, USCG (ret)
METEOROLOGIST / HURRICANE SPECIALIST
MEMBER WEST CENTRAL FL AMS
CERTIFIED SKYWARN OFFICIAL STORM SPOTTER (advanced)