Good day everyone!
The Storm Prediction Center has indicate a SLIGHT risk for Severe Thunderstorms in the Day 2 and Day 3 Convective Outlooks. Each outlook will be addressed in the forecast as each becomes the Day 1 Outlook.
SPC DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK (LINKED)
SPC DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK (LINKED)
Elsewhere, an area of low pressure has just exited the CONUS into the Atlantic coastline. This will phase with a northern low within the next 18-24 hours. The result will be a powerful winter storm developing along the coastal areas of New England and the Northeastern States. The trajectory for this will pretty much be a steady NE motion. TWC in their infinite wisdom has named the NEMO.
Current satellite imagery shows the system beginning to deepen as I am typing.
Based on Global and Regional models, this will continue to deepen, possibly to sub 980…to 970 MB by the time it reaches near Nova Scotia.
For the U.S. east coast, analysis of the current WAVEWATCH model output, and based on isobar spacing, residents along the eastern seaboard, from around Rhode Island, northward, could very well see sustained wind speeds of 60-65 mph along the coastal regions, and I’m not willing at this time to rule out possible hurricane force winds.
The WAVEWATCH model indicates that waves will attain heights of around 18-21 feet in the Gulf of Maine, with an area just outside the Gulf of Maine attaining sea heights of around 27-30 feet SE of the Gulf.
The following are snowfall estimates from the GFS and the ETA models
You may follow rain, snow, and ice, track the storm with an interactive map, obtain buoy data, and check any warnings and statements for your area with the following links.
INTELLICAST DOPPLER RADAR (RAIN, SNOW, ICE)
INTELLICAST STORM TRACKER (INTERACTIVE)
Based on the information contained in the models, this office advises residents along the coastal areas from Cape Cod, northward that you may want to make preparations as if preparing for the recent Superstorm Sandy. Residents in theses areas, and inland should brace for blizzard conditions where snowfall will occur. Residents can also expect power outages, downed trees, and beach erosion as well as coastal flooding at the time of high tide.
PLEASE do not think of this as just another snowstorm.
Stay safe, and have a blessed day!
T. F. “STORM” WALSH III
GMCS, USCG (ret)
METEOROLOGIST / HURRICANE SPECIALIST
MEMBER WEST CENTRAL FL AMS
CERTIFIED SKYWARN OFFICIAL STORM SPOTTER (advanced)